Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken: final score and how the prediction did, October 28, 2026
- Final scoreMaple Leafs 4, Kraken 5 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerKraken 54%
- Pregame Projected scoreKraken 3.8, Maple Leafs 3.3
- Model spreadKraken −0.5 total 7
- Margin1 projected 0.5
- Total9 projected 7
Bandwagon Axle 1.0 · Updated
Toronto Maple Leafs or Seattle Kraken: the bandwagon
Axle 46–54Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| SEA | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TOR | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | TOR21 | SEA17 |
| Hits | TOR32 | SEA23 |
| Blocked shots | TOR11 | SEA11 |
| Power play | TOR2/3 | SEA1/5 |
| Faceoff win | TOR52.5% | SEA47.5% |
| Takeaways | TOR3 | SEA1 |
| Giveaways | TOR15 | SEA16 |
| Penalty minutes | TOR15 | SEA11 |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TOR | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TOR4 | SEA5 |
| Average win probability | TOR20% | SEA80% |
| Longest scoring run | TOR+2 | SEA+2 |
| Time leading | TOR0:00 | SEA53:42 |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SEA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 54% | — |
- Ratings
- SEA 1474 · TOR 1468
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET · 2026-10-29 03:44 UTC
- Version
- Axle 1.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Seattle Kraken 5. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
The inputs behind this line were not recorded (it was stored before model 2.0). Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Kraken a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 7. Ratings: Kraken 1467 (26th of 32), Maple Leafs 1473 (24th). The Kraken are 8-5-1 in the Pacific Division; the Maple Leafs are 8-7-2 in the Atlantic Division. The Kraken have won 3 of their last 5; the Maple Leafs 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Kraken won 2, the Maple Leafs 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah Mammoth | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vancouver Canucks | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seattle Kraken | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Calgary Flames | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Edmonton Oilers | W 7–2 | – | – | matchup |
Seattle Kraken
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Calgary Flames | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Mammoth | W 5–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Red Wings | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken | 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs | 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs | 3–4 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Toronto Maple Leafs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Seattle Kraken: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Maple Leafs8-7-2 Atlantic Division, 6th · L1
- Maple Leafs rating1473 24th of 32, 17 games
- Kraken8-5-1 Pacific Division, 3rd · L1
- Kraken rating1467 26th of 32, 14 games
Toronto Maple Leafs 8-7-2
National Hockey League · Atlantic Division · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $LEAFS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Toronto Maple Leafs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Seattle Kraken 8-5-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $KRAKEN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle Kraken bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken
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