Calgary leads 1-0 at 13:03 of the first, and the model has the Flames at 51 percent at home. That is a coin flip with a one-goal cushion, so watch whether Seattle answers before the first intermission.
NHL · · Scotiabank Saddledome · every National Hockey League line
Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames: final score and how the prediction did, October 30, 2026
- Final scoreKraken 2, Flames 6
- Pregame Projected winnereven
- Pregame Projected scoreFlames 3.3, Kraken 3.3
- Model spreadeven total 6.5
- Margin4 projected 0
- Total8 projected 6.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Seattle Kraken or Calgary Flames: the bandwagon
Axle 49–51Market 51–49
FinalPregame: CGY 51%Baseline: CGY 78.9% (+28.1)Big swing: 22.2 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| CGY | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Shots
SEA 23CGY 27
Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for CGY over the last 5:00
Big swing22.2 ptstoward CGY at 25:45 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 1 goals in the final period
BaselineCGY 78.9%game average, +28.1 points from the pregame 50.8%
Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SEA | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | SEA23 | CGY27 |
| Hits | SEA17 | CGY31 |
| Blocked shots | SEA13 | CGY10 |
| Power play | SEA1/4 | CGY2/2 |
| Faceoff win | SEA59.4% | CGY40.6% |
| Takeaways | SEA4 | CGY3 |
| Giveaways | SEA14 | CGY11 |
| Penalty minutes | SEA9 | CGY13 |
Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SEA | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SEA2 | CGY6 |
| Average win probability | SEA21% | CGY79% |
| Longest scoring run | SEA+1 | CGY+3 |
| Time leading | SEA0:00 | CGY42:58 |
Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET
Kraken49%
Win chanceFlames51%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total6.5
Moneyline+103away / −103homeaway / home
Line movementCGY win chance, 9 stored lines
No move
56%44%
Oct 28Oct 30
Every stored line
| Stored | CGY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 51% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 49% | −1 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 50% | −1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 51% | — |
- Ratings
- CGY 1454 · SEA 1473
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-30 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Seattle Kraken 2, Calgary Flames 6. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
KrakenFlames
Neutrals only–
KrakenFlames
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Flames–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Kraken vs Flames odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Kraken at 51% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 51% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 49% when last read, .
| Source | SEA | CGY | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 51% | 49% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 51% | 49% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 49% | 51% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, CGY: −1Polymarket minus model, CGY: −1
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Flames. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Flames 1458 (29th of 32), Kraken 1470 (26th). The Flames are 7-8 in the Pacific Division; the Kraken are 8-5-1 in the Pacific Division. The Flames have won 2 of their last 5; the Kraken 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Flames won 0, the Kraken 6.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Seattle Kraken
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Calgary Flames | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Calgary Flames | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Mammoth | W 5–3 | – | – | matchup |
Calgary Flames
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Seattle Kraken | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Jose Sharks | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle Kraken | W 6–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Edmonton Oilers | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken | 1–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames | 6–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames | 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken | 1–4 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Seattle Kraken: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Calgary Flames: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Kraken8-5-1 Pacific Division, 3rd · L1
- Kraken rating1470 26th of 32, 15 games
- Flames7-8 Pacific Division, 6th · W1
- Flames rating1458 29th of 32, 16 games
Seattle Kraken 8-5-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 3rd · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KRAKEN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KRAKEN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KRAKEN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $KRAKEN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle Kraken bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Calgary Flames 7-8
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 6th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FLAMES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FLAMES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FLAMES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $FLAMES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Calgary Flames bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames
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Final: Kraken 2, Flames 6. Bandwagon's model had it even and projected Flames 3.3, Kraken 3.3; spread even, total 6.5. Last read: Kalshi 51%, Polymarket 51% for the Kraken.