Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreFlames 2, Sharks 1 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerSharks 52%
- Pregame Projected scoreSharks 3.1, Flames 2.9
- Model spreadeven total 6
- Margin1 projected 0.2
- Total3 projected 6
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Calgary Flames or San Jose Sharks: the bandwagon
Axle 48–52Market 47–53
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| SJ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CGY | SJ |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | CGY22 | SJ27 |
| Hits | CGY20 | SJ22 |
| Blocked shots | CGY20 | SJ8 |
| Power play | CGY0/3 | SJ0/3 |
| Faceoff win | CGY37.9% | SJ62.1% |
| Takeaways | CGY4 | SJ3 |
| Giveaways | CGY13 | SJ17 |
| Penalty minutes | CGY6 | SJ6 |
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CGY | SJ |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CGY2 | SJ1 |
| Average win probability | CGY73% | SJ27% |
| Longest scoring run | CGY+2 | SJ+1 |
| Time leading | CGY39:27 | SJ0:00 |
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SJ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 52% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:42 PM ET | 51% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:51 PM ET | 52% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 12:29 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 53% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 55% | +1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 54% | — |
- Ratings
- SJ 1445 · CGY 1457
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Calgary Flames 2, San Jose Sharks 1. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Flames vs Sharks odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Sharks at 53% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 53% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 52% when last read, .
| Source | CGY | SJ | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 47% | 53% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 47% | 53% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 48% | 52% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Sharks the favorite, with a 52% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 6. Ratings: Sharks 1441 (30th of 32), Flames 1461 (29th). The Sharks are 7-8-1 in the Pacific Division; the Flames are 7-8 in the Pacific Division. The Sharks have won 1 of their last 5; the Flames 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Sharks won 1, the Flames 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Calgary Flames
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at San Jose Sharks | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle Kraken | W 6–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Edmonton Oilers | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup |
San Jose Sharks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Calgary Flames | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ottawa Senators | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Canucks | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Sabres | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Bruins | L 4–6 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks | 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames | 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks | 3–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Calgary Flames: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San Jose Sharks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Flames7-8 Pacific Division, 6th · W1
- Flames rating1461 29th of 32, 15 games
- Sharks7-8-1 Pacific Division, 5th · L2
- Sharks rating1441 30th of 32, 16 games
Calgary Flames 7-8
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $FLAMES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Calgary Flames bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
San Jose Sharks 7-8-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 5th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $SHARKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Jose Sharks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks
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Final: Flames 2, Sharks 1. Bandwagon's model had the Sharks at 52% and projected Sharks 3.1, Flames 2.9; spread even, total 6. Last read: Kalshi 53%, Polymarket 53% for the Sharks.