San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerWild 70%
- Projected scoreWild 3.6, Sharks 2.4
- Model spreadWild −1 total 6
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
San Jose Sharks or Minnesota Wild: the bandwagon
Axle 30–70Market 30–70
San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | SJ | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SJ– | MIN– |
| Average win probability | SJ– | MIN– |
| Longest scoring run | SJ– | MIN– |
| Time leading | SJ– | MIN– |
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MIN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:52 AM ET | 70% | +1 |
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:45 PM ET | 69% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:12 PM ET | 68% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:42 PM ET | 67% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 12:29 AM ET | 66% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 10:47 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 67% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 64% | — |
- Ratings
- MIN 1557 · SJ 1435
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Sharks vs Wild odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi prices the Wild at 71%, Polymarket at 69% (2 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 70%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | SJ | MIN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 29% | 71% | ||
| Polymarket | 31% | 69% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 30% | 70% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wild a 1-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 6. Ratings: Wild 1557 (3rd of 32), Sharks 1435 (30th). The Wild are 11-3-3 in the Central Division; the Sharks are 7-8-1 in the Pacific Division. The Wild have won 4 of their last 5; the Sharks 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Wild won 3, the Sharks 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
San Jose Sharks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Los Angeles Kings | L 2–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Calgary Flames | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ottawa Senators | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Canucks | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Sabres | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup |
Minnesota Wild
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Philadelphia Flyers | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Capitals | W 5–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Islanders | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Mammoth | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vancouver Canucks | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild | 6–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild | 7–8 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks | 5–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
San Jose Sharks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Minnesota Wild: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sharks7-8-1 Pacific Division, 5th · L2
- Sharks rating1435 30th of 32, 17 games
- Wild11-3-3 Central Division, 1st · W2
- Wild rating1557 3rd of 32, 17 games
San Jose Sharks 7-8-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 5th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $SHARKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Jose Sharks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Minnesota Wild 11-3-3
National Hockey League · Central Division · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $WILD: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Wild bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild
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Model: Wild 70% to win. Projected score Wild 3.6, Sharks 2.4; spread Wild −1, total 6. Kalshi 71%, Polymarket 69% for the Wild. San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild, Fri, Nov 6, 8:00 PM ET.