Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerJets 55%
- Projected scoreJets 3.1, Blackhawks 2.9
- Model spreadeven total 6
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Winnipeg Jets or Chicago Blackhawks: the bandwagon
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Axle 55–45Market 47–53
Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WPG | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WPG– | CHI– |
| Average win probability | WPG– | CHI– |
| Longest scoring run | WPG– | CHI– |
| Time leading | WPG– | CHI– |
Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | CHI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 45% | −1 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:43 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 46% | — |
- Ratings
- CHI 1400 · WPG 1462
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Jets vs Blackhawks odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Jets at 47%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 55%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | WPG | CHI | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 47% | 53% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 55% | 45% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Jets the favorite, with a 55% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 6. Ratings: Blackhawks 1403 (31st of 32), Jets 1462 (28th). The Blackhawks are 4-10-1 in the Central Division; the Jets are 5-8-3 in the Central Division. The Blackhawks have won 1 of their last 5; the Jets 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Blackhawks won 2, the Jets 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Winnipeg Jets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Montreal Canadiens | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Carolina Hurricanes | L 0–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Panthers | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tampa Bay Lightning | L 4–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Panthers | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida Panthers | L 3–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Bruins | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Red Wings | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Kings | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets | 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks | 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Winnipeg Jets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Chicago Blackhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jets5-8-3 Central Division, 7th · W1
- Jets rating1462 28th of 32, 16 games
- Blackhawks4-10-1 Central Division, 8th · L3
- Blackhawks rating1403 31st of 32, 15 games
Winnipeg Jets 5-8-3
National Hockey League · Central Division · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $JETSWPG: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Winnipeg Jets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Chicago Blackhawks 4-10-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 8th · streak L3
1 stance today on $BLACKHAWKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Blackhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks
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Model: Jets 55% to win. Projected score Jets 3.1, Blackhawks 2.9; spread even, total 6. Polymarket 47% for the Jets. Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks, Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET.