New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnereven
- Projected scoreFlames 3.0, Rangers 3.0
- Model spreadeven total 6
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New York Rangers or Calgary Flames: the bandwagon
Axle 51–49Market 55–45
New York Rangers at Calgary Flames win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NYR | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NYR– | CGY– |
| Average win probability | NYR– | CGY– |
| Longest scoring run | NYR– | CGY– |
| Time leading | NYR– | CGY– |
New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | CGY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 12:42 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:42 AM ET | 49% | −1 |
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 50% | −1 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:45 PM ET | 51% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 8:41 PM ET | 50% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 49% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:51 PM ET | 50% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 49% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 48% | −1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 49% | — |
- Ratings
- CGY 1458 · NYR 1486
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 5, 12:42 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:42 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- home 50% → 49%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Rangers vs Flames odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi prices the Rangers at 58%, Polymarket at 53% (5 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 51%.
Prices read: Kalshi (not de-vigged); Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | NYR | CGY | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 58% | 42% | · not de-vigged | |
| Polymarket | 53% | 47% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 51% | 49% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 49% for the Flames. The model total is 6. Ratings: Flames 1461 (29th of 32), Rangers 1486 (19th). The Flames are 7-8 in the Pacific Division; the Rangers are 8-7-1 in the Metropolitan Division. The Flames have won 2 of their last 5; the Rangers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Flames won 3, the Rangers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New York Rangers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis Blues | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Edmonton Oilers | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Kings | L 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ottawa Senators | L 4–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto Maple Leafs | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup |
Calgary Flames
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Seattle Kraken | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Jose Sharks | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle Kraken | W 6–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Edmonton Oilers | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames at New York Rangers | 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Rangers at Calgary Flames | 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at New York Rangers | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Rangers at Calgary Flames | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at New York Rangers | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Rangers at Calgary Flames | 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New York Rangers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Calgary Flames: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Rangers8-7-1 Metropolitan Division, 3rd · W1
- Rangers rating1486 19th of 32, 16 games
- Flames7-8 Pacific Division, 6th · W1
- Flames rating1461 29th of 32, 15 games
New York Rangers 8-7-1
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $RANGERSNYR: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New York Rangers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Calgary Flames 7-8
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $FLAMES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Calgary Flames bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on New York Rangers at Calgary Flames
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Model: even. Projected score Flames 3.0, Rangers 3.0; spread even, total 6. Kalshi 58%, Polymarket 53% for the Rangers. New York Rangers at Calgary Flames, Wed, Nov 11, 7:30 PM ET.