Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnereven
- Projected scoreSharks 3.1, Flames 2.9
- Model spreadeven total 6
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Calgary Flames or San Jose Sharks: the bandwagon
Axle 49–51Market 42–58
Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CGY | SJ |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CGY– | SJ– |
| Average win probability | CGY– | SJ– |
| Longest scoring run | CGY– | SJ– |
| Time leading | CGY– | SJ– |
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SJ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | — |
- Ratings
- SJ 1441 · CGY 1461
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Flames vs Sharks odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Sharks at 58%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 51%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CGY | SJ | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 42% | 58% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 49% | 51% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Sharks. The model total is 6. Ratings: Sharks 1441 (30th of 32), Flames 1461 (29th). The Sharks are 7-8-1 in the Pacific Division; the Flames are 7-8 in the Pacific Division. The Sharks have won 1 of their last 5; the Flames 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Sharks won 1, the Flames 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Calgary Flames
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at San Jose Sharks | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle Kraken | W 6–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Edmonton Oilers | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup |
San Jose Sharks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Calgary Flames | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ottawa Senators | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Canucks | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Sabres | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Bruins | L 4–6 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks | 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames | 2–5 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Calgary Flames: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San Jose Sharks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Flames7-8 Pacific Division, 6th · W1
- Flames rating1461 29th of 32, 15 games
- Sharks7-8-1 Pacific Division, 5th · L2
- Sharks rating1441 30th of 32, 16 games
Calgary Flames 7-8
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $FLAMES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Calgary Flames bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
San Jose Sharks 7-8-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 5th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $SHARKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Jose Sharks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks
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Model: even. Projected score Sharks 3.1, Flames 2.9; spread even, total 6. Polymarket 58% for the Sharks. Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks, Tue, Nov 17, 10:00 PM ET.