Bundesliga prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Games with a market price, beside the model. Futures · model lines
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Bundesliga prediction market odds Friday, November 6
1 game| Game | Kick (ET) | Kalshi away · home | Polymarket away · home | Bandwagon model away · home | Bandwagon away · home | Gap market − model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMG at HSV Borussia Mönchengladbach at Hamburg SV | 35 · 39 draw 27 Kalshi · | 34 · 39 draw 26 Polymarket · | 25 · 47 model 2.0 | – | −8 HSV, Kalshi | Matchup |
Bundesliga prediction market odds Saturday, November 7
5 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Kalshi away · home | Polymarket away · home | Bandwagon model away · home | Bandwagon away · home | Gap market − model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGE at SCP Eintracht Frankfurt at SC Paderborn 07 | 44 · 31 draw 25 Kalshi · | 44 · 32 draw 25 Polymarket · | 31 · 40 model 2.0 | – | −9 SCP, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| ELV at DOR SV Elversberg at Borussia Dortmund | 11 · 75 draw 15 Kalshi · | 11 · 75 draw 15 Polymarket · | 12 · 69 model 2.0 | – | +6 DOR, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| FCA at RBL FC Augsburg at RB Leipzig | 16 · 67 draw 18 Kalshi · | 16 · 66 draw 17 Polymarket · | 16 · 61 model 2.0 | – | +6 RBL, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| MUN at M05 Bayern Munich at Mainz | 74 · 13 draw 14 Kalshi · | 73 · 12 draw 14 Polymarket · | 71 · 11 model 2.0 | – | +2 M05, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| SVW at VFB Werder Bremen at VfB Stuttgart | 21 · 60 draw 20 Kalshi · | 20 · 59 draw 20 Polymarket · | 17 · 60 model 2.0 | – | −1 VFB, Polymarket | Matchup |
Bundesliga prediction market odds Sunday, November 8
3 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Kalshi away · home | Polymarket away · home | Bandwagon model away · home | Bandwagon away · home | Gap market − model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCU at SCF 1. FC Union Berlin at SC Freiburg | 14 · 65 draw 20 Kalshi · | 14 · 65 draw 21 Polymarket · | 20 · 54 model 2.0 | – | +11 SCF, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| S04 at TSG Schalke 04 at TSG Hoffenheim | 19 · 60 draw 21 Kalshi · | 19 · 60 draw 21 Polymarket · | 21 · 53 model 2.0 | – | +8 TSG, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| B04 at KOE Bayer Leverkusen at FC Cologne | 54 · 23 draw 22 Kalshi · | 54 · 24 draw 22 Polymarket · | 46 · 26 model 2.0 | – | −2 KOE, Kalshi | Matchup |
Bundesliga title odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
All teams| Team | Kalshi | Polymarket | Axle rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 90% | 88% | #1 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 6% | 7% | #2 |
| RB Leipzig | 1.5% | 1.2% | #3 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1% | 1.4% | #5 |
| FC Augsburg | 0.5% | 1.2% | #10 |
| SC Freiburg | 1% | 0.8% | #6 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin | 0.5% | 0.3% | #12 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.5% | 0.1% | #18 |
Bundesliga: market versus model record
No record yet. A game is scored once it is final and has both a market price from the day before it and a model line; the scorer runs every night, and the first rows appear when the first such games finish.
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Kalshi and Polymarket prices for upcoming Bundesliga games and the season, next to Bandwagon's model and the crowd's picks, with the record of who was right. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.