Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerSC Paderborn 07 40%
- Projected scoreSC Paderborn 07 1.6, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.4
- Model spreadeven total 3
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Eintracht Frankfurt or SC Paderborn 07: the bandwagon
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Axle 31–40Market 44–31
Eintracht Frankfurt at SC Paderborn 07 win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Paderborn 07 live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Paderborn 07 team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | SGE | SCP |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SGE– | SCP– |
| Average win probability | SGE– | SCP– |
| Longest scoring run | SGE– | SCP– |
| Time leading | SGE– | SCP– |
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Paderborn 07 model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SCP win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:33 PM ET | 40% | −2 |
| Nov 1, 11:24 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:32 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:27 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 5:25 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 42% | −9 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 51% | — |
- Ratings
- SCP 1398 · SGE 1423
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In Bundesliga a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:35 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Paderborn 07 odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Bundesliga marketKalshi prices SC Paderborn 07 at 31%, Polymarket at 32% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 40%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | SGE | Draw | SCP | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 44% | 25% | 31% | ||
| Polymarket | 44% | 25% | 32% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 31% | 29% | 40% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the SC Paderborn 07 the favorite, with a 40% chance to win and a 29% chance of a draw; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 3. Ratings: SC Paderborn 07 1398 (14th of 18), Eintracht Frankfurt 1423 (9th). The SC Paderborn 07 are 2-3-3; the Eintracht Frankfurt are 3-3-2. The SC Paderborn 07 have won 2 of their last 5; the Eintracht Frankfurt 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Hamburg SV | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Borussia Dortmund | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs FC Cologne | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at RB Leipzig | L 0–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SC Freiburg | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup |
SC Paderborn 07
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Borussia Mönchengladbach | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hamburg SV | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Werder Bremen | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs VfB Stuttgart | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs TSG Hoffenheim | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Eintracht Frankfurt: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
SC Paderborn 07: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eintracht Frankfurt3-3-2 8th
- Eintracht Frankfurt rating1423 9th of 18, 8 games
- SC Paderborn 072-3-3 14th
- SC Paderborn 07 rating1398 14th of 18, 8 games
Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3-2
Bundesliga · 8th
No stances yet today on $FRANKFURT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Eintracht Frankfurt bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
SC Paderborn 07 2-3-3
Bundesliga · 14th
No stances yet today on $PADERBORN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SC Paderborn 07 bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Eintracht Frankfurt at SC Paderborn 07
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Model: SC Paderborn 07 40% to win, draw 29%. Projected score SC Paderborn 07 1.6, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.4; spread even, total 3. Kalshi 31%, Polymarket 32% for SC Paderborn 07. Eintracht Frankfurt at SC Paderborn 07, Sat, Nov 7, 9:30 AM ET.