Kickoff at Borussia Mönchengladbach against SC Paderborn 07, still 0-0 at 6'. The model has the home side at 37 percent, so the numbers lean toward Paderborn right now, and the crowd is quiet with 0 picks so far.
Bundesliga · · ista-Borussia-Park · every Bundesliga line
SC Paderborn 07 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreSC Paderborn 07 0, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 a draw
- Pregame Projected winnerBorussia Mönchengladbach 37%
- Pregame Projected scorelevel, 1.8 each draw 29%
- Model spreadeven total 3.5
- Margin0 projected 0
- Total0 projected 3.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
SC Paderborn 07 or Borussia Mönchengladbach: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 34–37Market –
FinalPregame: BMG 52%Baseline: BMG 51.9% (−0.0)Big swing: 28.8 ptsClutch window: 45:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCP | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BMG | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
SCP 56.9%BMG 43.1%
SC Paderborn 07 at Borussia Mönchengladbach win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.5 points for BMG over the last 10:00
Big swing28.8 ptstoward SCP at 38:00 of game time
Clutch window45:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineBMG 51.9%game average, −0.0 points from the pregame 51.9%
SC Paderborn 07 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SCP | BMG |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | SCP56.9% | BMG43.1% |
| Shots | SCP13 | BMG12 |
| Shots on target | SCP4 | BMG4 |
| Corners | SCP7 | BMG4 |
| Passes completed | SCP417/511 | BMG276/381 |
| Saves | SCP4 | BMG4 |
| Fouls | SCP9 | BMG10 |
| Offsides | SCP3 | BMG1 |
| Yellow cards | SCP3 | BMG2 |
| Red cards | SCP0 | BMG0 |
SC Paderborn 07 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SCP | BMG |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SCP0 | BMG0 |
| Average win probability | SCP48% | BMG52% |
| Longest scoring run | SCP+0 | BMG+1 |
| Time leading | SCP0:00 | BMG2:00 |
SC Paderborn 07 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
SC Paderborn 0734%
Win chanceBorussia Mönchengladbach37%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total3.5
Moneyline+199away / +243draw / +168homeaway / draw / home
Line movementBMG win chance, 7 stored lines
+1 pts for BMG between Oct 29 and Oct 31
43%31%
Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | BMG win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 5:25 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 37% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 36% | — |
- Ratings
- BMG 1350 · SCP 1397
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: SC Paderborn 07 0, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Bundesliga a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
SC Paderborn 07Borussia Mönchengladbach
Neutrals only–
SC Paderborn 07Borussia Mönchengladbach
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Borussia Mönchengladbach–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Borussia Mönchengladbach the favorite, with a 37% chance to win and a 29% chance of a draw; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 3.5. Ratings: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1350 (18th of 18), SC Paderborn 07 1398 (14th). The Borussia Mönchengladbach are 1-6-1; the SC Paderborn 07 are 2-3-3. The Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of their last 5; the SC Paderborn 07 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
SC Paderborn 07
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Borussia Mönchengladbach | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hamburg SV | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Werder Bremen | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs VfB Stuttgart | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs TSG Hoffenheim | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs SC Paderborn 07 | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at VfB Stuttgart | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs TSG Hoffenheim | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at FC Cologne | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mainz | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
SC Paderborn 07: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Borussia Mönchengladbach: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- SC Paderborn 072-3-3 14th
- SC Paderborn 07 rating1398 14th of 18, 8 games
- Borussia Mönchengladbach1-6-1 18th
- Borussia Mönchengladbach rating1350 18th of 18, 8 games
SC Paderborn 07 2-3-3
Bundesliga · 14th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PADERBORN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PADERBORN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PADERBORN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $PADERBORN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SC Paderborn 07 bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-6-1
Bundesliga · 18th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GLADBACH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GLADBACH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GLADBACH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $GLADBACH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Borussia Mönchengladbach bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on SC Paderborn 07 at Borussia Mönchengladbach
Sign in to post a take on $PADERBORNGLADBACH261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: SC Paderborn 07 0, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0. Bandwagon's model had the Borussia Mönchengladbach at 37% and projected level, 1.8 each; spread even, total 3.5.