Bundesliga title odds on Kalshi and Polymarket vs the Bandwagon model
Title prices beside the model's rank. Bundesliga games
What is compared
What Kalshi and Polymarket price for each Bundesliga team to win the title, beside where Bandwagon's ratings rank the team and how confident the neutrals are in it (the Index). The model has no championship probability of its own; the comparison is the rank.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Bundesliga title odds by team on Kalshi and Polymarket
18 teams| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 90% Kalshi · | 88% Polymarket · | #1 market · #1 ratings | – |
| Borussia Dortmund | 6% Kalshi · | 7% Polymarket · | #2 market · #2 ratings | – |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1% Kalshi · | 1.6% Polymarket · | #3 market · #5 ratings | – |
| RB Leipzig | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.2% Polymarket · | #4 market · #3 ratings | – |
| FC Augsburg | 0.5% Kalshi · | 1.2% Polymarket · | #5 market · #10 ratings | – |
| SC Freiburg | 1% Kalshi · | 0.8% Polymarket · | #6 market · #6 ratings | – |
| 1. FC Union Berlin | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #7 market · #12 ratings | – |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #8 market · #18 ratings | – |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #9 market · #9 ratings | – |
| FC Cologne | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #10 market · #16 ratings | – |
| Hamburg SV | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #11 market · #17 ratings | – |
| Mainz | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #12 market · #13 ratings | – |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #13 market · #14 ratings | – |
| Schalke 04 | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.2% Polymarket · | #14 market · #15 ratings | – |
| SV Elversberg | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #15 market · #8 ratings | – |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #16 market · #7 ratings | – |
| VfB Stuttgart | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #17 market · #4 ratings | – |
| Werder Bremen | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #18 market · #11 ratings | – |
Kalshi's championship prices add up to 106%; Polymarket's championship prices add up to 102%: prices for a field of mutually exclusive outcomes add to a little over 100% because every long shot is quoted at least a cent. These are not normalized here.
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Bundesliga title odds on Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, next to Bandwagon's rating rank and the Bandwagon Index. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.