MLS prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Games with a market price, beside the model. Futures · model lines
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
MLS prediction market odds Saturday, November 7
15 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Kalshi away · home | Polymarket away · home | Bandwagon model away · home | Bandwagon away · home | Gap market − model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR at ATX Portland Timbers at Austin FC | 57 · 21 draw 21 Kalshi · | 57 · 22 draw 21 Polymarket · | 34 · 39 model 2.0 | – | −17 ATX, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| CLT at MIA Charlotte FC at Inter Miami CF | 14 · 69 draw 16 Kalshi · | 14 · 70 draw 16 Polymarket · | 22 · 54 model 2.0 | – | +16 MIA, Polymarket | Matchup | |
| LA at RSL LA Galaxy at Real Salt Lake | 21 · 59 draw 21 Kalshi · | 20 · 60 draw 21 Polymarket · | 28 · 45 model 2.0 | – | +14 RSL, Polymarket | Matchup | |
| COL at DAL Colorado Rapids at FC Dallas | 28 · 47 draw 24 Kalshi · | 30 · 46 draw 25 Polymarket · | 20 · 56 model 2.0 | – | −11 DAL, Polymarket | Matchup | |
| LAFC at SEA LAFC at Seattle Sounders FC | 26 · 51 draw 24 Kalshi · | 26 · 51 draw 24 Polymarket · | 30 · 42 model 2.0 | – | +8 SEA, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| NSH at CIN Nashville SC at FC Cincinnati | 37 · 39 draw 25 Kalshi · | 37 · 39 draw 24 Polymarket · | 42 · 31 model 2.0 | – | +8 CIN, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| SJ at MIN San Jose Earthquakes at Minnesota United FC | 24 · 54 draw 21 Kalshi · | 23 · 55 draw 22 Polymarket · | 27 · 47 model 2.0 | – | +8 MIN, Polymarket | Matchup | |
| TOR at PHI Toronto FC at Philadelphia Union | 16 · 67 draw 18 Kalshi · | 16 · 67 draw 18 Polymarket · | 17 · 61 model 2.0 | – | +6 PHI, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| STL at HOU St. Louis CITY SC at Houston Dynamo FC | 34 · 39 draw 26 Kalshi · | 35 · 39 draw 27 Polymarket · | 29 · 44 model 2.0 | – | −6 HOU, Polymarket | Matchup | |
| NE at ORL New England Revolution at Orlando City SC | 29 · 49 draw 21 Kalshi · | 29 · 49 draw 22 Polymarket · | 29 · 45 model 2.0 | – | +5 ORL, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| SKC at SD Sporting Kansas City at San Diego FC | 17 · 66 draw 18 Kalshi · | 17 · 66 draw 17 Polymarket · | 16 · 62 model 2.0 | – | +4 SD, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| VAN at MTL Vancouver Whitecaps at CF Montréal | 58 · 21 draw 21 Kalshi · | 58 · 21 draw 21 Polymarket · | 54 · 22 model 2.0 | – | −1 MTL, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| ATL at RBNY Atlanta United FC at Red Bull New York | 27 · 50 draw 23 Kalshi · | 28 · 50 draw 22 Polymarket · | 25 · 49 model 2.0 | – | +1 RBNY, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| NYC at DC New York City FC at D.C. United | 42 · 33 draw 25 Kalshi · | 43 · 32 draw 25 Polymarket · | 40 · 33 model 2.0 | – | +1 DC, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| CLB at CHI Columbus Crew at Chicago Fire FC | 29 · 48 draw 23 Kalshi · | 29 · 48 draw 23 Polymarket · | 26 · 48 model 2.0 | – | 0 CHI, Kalshi | Matchup |
MLS Cup odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
All teams| Team | Kalshi | Polymarket | Axle rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 21% | 23% | #1 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 18% | 16% | #3 |
| Inter Miami CF | 17% | 17% | #2 |
| Philadelphia Union | 6.5% | 5.5% | #4 |
| St. Louis CITY SC | 6.5% | 6% | #10 |
| FC Dallas | 6% | 6.1% | #7 |
| New England Revolution | 4.5% | 4.9% | #11 |
| Chicago Fire FC | 3.5% | 4.5% | #5 |
MLS: market versus model record
No record yet. A game is scored once it is final and has both a market price from the day before it and a model line; the scorer runs every night, and the first rows appear when the first such games finish.
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Kalshi and Polymarket prices for upcoming MLS games and the season, next to Bandwagon's model and the crowd's picks, with the record of who was right. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.