MLS Cup odds on Kalshi and Polymarket vs the Bandwagon model
Title prices beside the model's rank. MLS games
What is compared
What Kalshi and Polymarket price for each MLS team to win the title, beside where Bandwagon's ratings rank the team and how confident the neutrals are in it (the Index). The model has no championship probability of its own; the comparison is the rank.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
MLS Cup odds by team on Kalshi and Polymarket
30 teams| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 21% Kalshi · | 23% Polymarket · | #1 market · #1 ratings | – |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 18% Kalshi · | 16% Polymarket · | #2 market · #3 ratings | – |
| Inter Miami CF | 17% Kalshi · | 17% Polymarket · | #3 market · #2 ratings | – |
| Philadelphia Union | 6.5% Kalshi · | 5.5% Polymarket · | #4 market · #4 ratings | – |
| St. Louis CITY SC | 6.5% Kalshi · | 6% Polymarket · | #5 market · #10 ratings | – |
| FC Dallas | 6% Kalshi · | 6.1% Polymarket · | #6 market · #7 ratings | – |
| New England Revolution | 4.5% Kalshi · | 4.9% Polymarket · | #7 market · #11 ratings | – |
| Chicago Fire FC | 3.5% Kalshi · | 4.5% Polymarket · | #8 market · #5 ratings | – |
| LAFC | 3.5% Kalshi · | 4.2% Polymarket · | #9 market · #9 ratings | – |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 3.5% Kalshi · | 2.8% Polymarket · | #10 market · #14 ratings | – |
| Charlotte FC | 2.5% Kalshi · | 2.7% Polymarket · | #11 market · #6 ratings | – |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 2.5% Kalshi · | 2.3% Polymarket · | #12 market · #16 ratings | – |
| Columbus Crew | 1.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #13 market · #8 ratings | – |
| FC Cincinnati | 1.5% Kalshi · | 0.8% Polymarket · | #14 market · #12 ratings | – |
| LA Galaxy | 1.5% Kalshi · | 0.4% Polymarket · | #15 market · #20 ratings | – |
| Colorado Rapids | 1% Kalshi · | 0.7% Polymarket · | #16 market · #23 ratings | – |
| Orlando City SC | 1% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #17 market · #15 ratings | – |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 1% Kalshi · | 0.7% Polymarket · | #18 market · #18 ratings | – |
| Atlanta United FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #19 market · #27 ratings | – |
| Austin FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #20 market · #26 ratings | – |
| CF Montréal | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #21 market · #29 ratings | – |
| D.C. United | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #22 market · #28 ratings | – |
| Minnesota United FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #23 market · #13 ratings | – |
| New York City FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #24 market · #17 ratings | – |
| Portland Timbers | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #25 market · #19 ratings | – |
| Real Salt Lake | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #26 market · #22 ratings | – |
| Red Bull New York | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #27 market · #25 ratings | – |
| San Diego FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #28 market · #21 ratings | – |
| Sporting Kansas City | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #29 market · #30 ratings | – |
| Toronto FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #30 market · #24 ratings | – |
Kalshi's championship prices add up to 107%; Polymarket's championship prices add up to 99%: prices for a field of mutually exclusive outcomes add to a little over 100% because every long shot is quoted at least a cent. These are not normalized here.
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MLS Cup odds on Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, next to Bandwagon's rating rank and the Bandwagon Index. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.