Ligue 1 prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Games with a market price, beside the model. Futures · model lines
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Ligue 1 prediction market odds Friday, November 6
1 game| Game | Kick (ET) | Kalshi away · home | Polymarket away · home | Bandwagon model away · home | Bandwagon away · home | Gap market − model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STR at TOU Strasbourg at Toulouse | 29 · 47 draw 25 Kalshi · | 29 · 47 draw 25 Polymarket · | 32 · 41 model 2.0 | – | +5 TOU, Kalshi | Matchup |
Ligue 1 prediction market odds Saturday, November 7
2 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Kalshi away · home | Polymarket away · home | Bandwagon model away · home | Bandwagon away · home | Gap market − model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR at AUX Paris FC at AJ Auxerre | 55 · 22 draw 24 Kalshi · | 55 · 22 draw 24 Polymarket · | 43 · 31 model 2.0 | – | −9 AUX, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| TRY at PSG Troyes at Paris Saint-Germain | 5 · 86 draw 8 Kalshi · | 4 · 87 draw 8 Polymarket · | 7 · 81 model 2.0 | – | +6 PSG, Polymarket | Matchup |
Ligue 1 prediction market odds Sunday, November 8
6 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Kalshi away · home | Polymarket away · home | Bandwagon model away · home | Bandwagon away · home | Gap market − model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LILL at REN Lille at Stade Rennais | 30 · 45 draw 25 Kalshi · | 30 · 45 draw 25 Polymarket · | 35 · 38 model 2.0 | – | +7 REN, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| MON at MNS AS Monaco at Le Mans | 55 · 22 draw 23 Kalshi · | 55 · 22 draw 23 Polymarket · | 47 · 28 model 2.0 | – | −6 MNS, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| NICE at ANG Nice at Angers | 47 · 27 draw 26 Kalshi · | 47 · 27 draw 27 Polymarket · | 43 · 31 model 2.0 | – | −4 ANG, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| LYON at BRE Lyon at Brest | 39 · 34 draw 27 Kalshi · | 39 · 34 draw 27 Polymarket · | 43 · 31 model 2.0 | – | +3 BRE, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| OLM at RCL Marseille at Lens | 30 · 46 draw 24 Kalshi · | 30 · 46 draw 24 Polymarket · | 29 · 45 model 2.0 | – | +1 RCL, Kalshi | Matchup | |
| LOR at HAC Lorient at Le Havre AC | 37 · 34 draw 29 Kalshi · | 37 · 34 draw 29 Polymarket · | 41 · 33 model 2.0 | – | +1 HAC, Kalshi | Matchup |
Ligue 1 title odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
All teams| Team | Kalshi | Polymarket | Axle rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 88% | 88% | #1 |
| AS Monaco | 2.5% | 2.2% | #6 |
| Lille | 2% | 1.9% | #2 |
| Lyon | 2% | 1.5% | #5 |
| Paris FC | 2% | 0.8% | #8 |
| Stade Rennais | 1.5% | 1% | #7 |
| Marseille | 1% | 1.5% | #4 |
| Lens | 1% | 1.1% | #3 |
Ligue 1: market versus model record
No record yet. A game is scored once it is final and has both a market price from the day before it and a model line; the scorer runs every night, and the first rows appear when the first such games finish.
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Kalshi and Polymarket prices for upcoming Ligue 1 games and the season, next to Bandwagon's model and the crowd's picks, with the record of who was right. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.