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Markets · cricket

Cricket prediction market odds: Kalshi and Polymarket match winner prices

15 matches in 9 competitions have a current price from Kalshi or Polymarket; 6 are priced by both.

Kalshi and Polymarket both list prices on who wins a cricket match. This page puts the two side by side for each match, by competition: the chance each venue gives each side, the draw where a venue lists one, the gap between the venues in points, and the time each price was read. Bandwagon has no cricket teams, ratings or model, so there is nothing else in the comparison. Only the match-winner market is read, not the toss, top batter, sixes or totals.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Ranji Trophy

3 matches
MatchKalshiPolymarketGap, pts
Baroda vs Uttar PradeshRead No current price
Baroda1.1%––
Uttar Pradesh7.8%––
Draw91%––
Gujarat vs KeralaRead No current price
Gujarat49%––
Kerala1.5%––
Draw50%––
Himachal Pradesh vs RajasthanRead No current price
Himachal Pradesh5.7%––
Rajasthan84%––
Draw11%––

Test matches

3 matches
MatchKalshiPolymarketGap, pts
Pakistan Cricket Board Patron's XI vs Sri LankaRead Not listed
Pakistan Cricket Board Patron's XI15%––
Sri Lanka24%––
Draw62%––
Bangladesh vs West IndiesRead Read
Bangladesh50%50%0
West Indies35%33%2
Draw15%17%2
Afghanistan vs ZimbabweRead Read
Afghanistan59%58%1
Zimbabwe29%29%0
Draw12%13%1
MatchKalshiPolymarketGap, pts
Adelaide Strikers Women vs Brisbane Heat WomenRead Read
Adelaide Strikers Women62%64%2
Brisbane Heat Women38%37%1
Perth Scorchers Women vs Sydney Thunder WomenRead Read
Perth Scorchers Women45%45%0
Sydney Thunder Women55%56%1
Melbourne Stars Women vs Sydney Sixers WomenRead Read
Melbourne Stars Women40%39%1
Sydney Sixers Women60%61%1
MatchKalshiPolymarketGap, pts
Dubai vs Emirates BluesRead Not listed
Dubai44%––
Emirates Blues56%––
MatchKalshiPolymarketGap, pts
Oman vs UAENot listedRead
Oman–0.1%–
UAE–100%–
MatchKalshiPolymarketGap, pts
Al Mulla Exchange - B vs Future StarsRead Not listed
Al Mulla Exchange - B72%––
Future Stars28%––
MatchKalshiPolymarketGap, pts
India vs New ZealandNot listedRead
India–57%–
New Zealand–43%–
MatchKalshiPolymarketGap, pts
England Lions vs West Indies ARead Not listed
England Lions77%––
West Indies A23%––
MatchKalshiPolymarketGap, pts
Biratnagar Kings vs Kathmandu GorkhasRead Read
Biratnagar Kings76%51%25
Kathmandu Gorkhas24%49%25

Each venue's prices for a match's results are divided by their sum so they add to 100%. Gap: the difference between the two venues in percentage points, where both show the same results. A dash: that venue shows no current price for the result, or lists a different set of results (one lists a draw, the other does not). Start times are US Eastern.

Recently settled cricket matches

last 7 days
MatchCompetitionKalshi resultPolymarket result
Abu Dhabi vs Ajman · T20Emirates D20Abu Dhabi wonNot listed

The result is what each venue settled the match to. A tie, a draw or no result where a venue lists no draw settles both sides at 50/50, shown as "No winner".

How these prices are read

Prices come from the two venues' public APIs every ten minutes for matches starting within 48 hours and hourly for the next two weeks. Each venue's price is the midpoint of its best bid and ask when both are quoted and within ten cents of each other, otherwise its last trade; a market with neither shows no price. A match is shown at both venues only when their sides agree and their start times are within three hours of each other. How the prices are read and de-vigged · Kalshi vs Polymarket for sports.

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