Charlotte FC vs Inter Miami CF prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerInter Miami CF 54%
- Projected scoreInter Miami CF 2.1, Charlotte FC 1.4
- Model spreadInter Miami CF −1 total 3.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Charlotte FC or Inter Miami CF: the bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 22–54Market 15–69
Charlotte FC at Inter Miami CF win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Charlotte FC vs Inter Miami CF live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Charlotte FC vs Inter Miami CF team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CLT | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CLT– | MIA– |
| Average win probability | CLT– | MIA– |
| Longest scoring run | CLT– | MIA– |
| Time leading | CLT– | MIA– |
Charlotte FC vs Inter Miami CF model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MIA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 9:23 PM ET | 54% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 6:41 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:44 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:12 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:11 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:12 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:06 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 53% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 54% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 53% | — |
- Ratings
- MIA 1604 · CLT 1537
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In Major League Soccer a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:35 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:35 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Charlotte FC vs Inter Miami CF odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every MLS marketKalshi prices Inter Miami CF at 69%, Polymarket at 70% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 54%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CLT | Draw | MIA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 15% | 16% | 69% | ||
| Polymarket | 14% | 16% | 70% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 22% | 25% | 54% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Charlotte FC vs Inter Miami CF prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Inter Miami CF a 1-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win and a 25% chance of a draw. The model total is 3.5. Ratings: Inter Miami CF 1604 (2nd of 30), Charlotte FC 1537 (6th). The Inter Miami CF are 16-6-11; the Charlotte FC are 15-10-8. The Inter Miami CF have won 3 of their last 5; the Charlotte FC 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Inter Miami CF won 2, the Charlotte FC 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Charlotte FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Orlando City SC | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs CF Montréal | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Timbers | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Union | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Columbus Crew | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Inter Miami CF
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New England Revolution | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs FC Cincinnati | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Red Bull New York | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Atlanta United FC | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York City FC | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami CF at Charlotte FC | 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Inter Miami CF at Charlotte FC | 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte FC at Inter Miami CF | 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte FC at Inter Miami CF | 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Inter Miami CF at Charlotte FC | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Inter Miami CF at Charlotte FC | 0–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Charlotte FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Inter Miami CF: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Charlotte FC15-10-8 5th
- Charlotte FC rating1537 6th of 30, 33 games
- Inter Miami CF16-6-11 2nd
- Inter Miami CF rating1604 2nd of 30, 33 games
Charlotte FC 15-10-8
Major League Soccer · 5th
No stances yet today on $CHARLOTTE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Inter Miami CF 16-6-11
Major League Soccer · 2nd
No stances yet today on $MIAMI: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Inter Miami CF bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Charlotte FC at Inter Miami CF
Sign in to post a take on $CHARLOTTEMIAMI261107: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Inter Miami CF 54% to win, draw 25%. Projected score Inter Miami CF 2.1, Charlotte FC 1.4; spread Inter Miami CF −1, total 3.5. Kalshi 69%, Polymarket 70% for Inter Miami CF. Charlotte FC at Inter Miami CF, Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM ET.