MLS, 6 minutes in: New England Revolution and Inter Miami CF are level at 0-0. The model gives the Revolution 38 percent, so the numbers lean toward Miami, and no crowd picks are in yet.
MLS · · Gillette Stadium · every Major League Soccer line
Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreInter Miami CF 2, New England Revolution 1 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerNew England Revolution 38%
- Pregame Projected scorelevel, 1.8 each draw 28%
- Model spreadeven total 3.5
- Margin1 projected 0
- Total3 projected 3.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Inter Miami CF or New England Revolution: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
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Axle 35–38Market –
FinalPregame: NE 52%Baseline: NE 54.9% (+3.4)Big swing: 50.1 ptsClutch window: 45:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| NE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
MIA 45.6%NE 54.4%
Inter Miami CF at New England Revolution win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to MIA−50.4 points for NE over the last 10:00
Big swing50.1 ptstoward NE at 89:00 of game time
Clutch window45:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineNE 54.9%game average, +3.4 points from the pregame 51.5%
Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MIA | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | MIA45.6% | NE54.4% |
| Shots | MIA14 | NE13 |
| Shots on target | MIA6 | NE3 |
| Corners | MIA1 | NE7 |
| Passes completed | MIA424/481 | NE524/571 |
| Saves | MIA2 | NE3 |
| Fouls | MIA16 | NE6 |
| Offsides | MIA0 | NE1 |
| Yellow cards | MIA3 | NE1 |
| Red cards | MIA0 | NE0 |
Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MIA | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MIA2 | NE1 |
| Average win probability | MIA45% | NE55% |
| Longest scoring run | MIA+2 | NE+1 |
| Time leading | MIA4:00 | NE16:00 |
Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 6:41 PM ET
Inter Miami CF35%
Win chanceNew England Revolution38%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total3.5
Moneyline+189away / +261draw / +166homeaway / draw / home
Line movementNE win chance, 13 stored lines
+2 pts for NE between Oct 29 and Nov 1
43%31%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | NE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 6:41 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:41 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:44 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:12 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:11 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:12 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:06 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 38% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 36% | — |
- Ratings
- NE 1516 · MIA 1594
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 1, 6:41 PM ET · 2026-11-01 23:41 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Inter Miami CF 2, New England Revolution 1. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Major League Soccer a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:35 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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Inter Miami CFNew England Revolution
Neutrals only–
Inter Miami CFNew England Revolution
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, New England Revolution–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the New England Revolution the favorite, with a 38% chance to win and a 28% chance of a draw; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 3.5. Ratings: New England Revolution 1506 (11th of 30), Inter Miami CF 1604 (2nd). The New England Revolution are 18-11-4; the Inter Miami CF are 16-6-11. The New England Revolution have won 4 of their last 5; the Inter Miami CF 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the New England Revolution won 1, the Inter Miami CF 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Inter Miami CF
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New England Revolution | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs FC Cincinnati | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Red Bull New York | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Atlanta United FC | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York City FC | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup |
New England Revolution
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Inter Miami CF | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Red Bull New York | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Union | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago Fire FC | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at FC Cincinnati | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution at Inter Miami CF | 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| New England Revolution at Inter Miami CF | 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Inter Miami CF at New England Revolution | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| New England Revolution at Inter Miami CF | 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Inter Miami CF at New England Revolution | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Inter Miami CF at New England Revolution | 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Inter Miami CF: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
New England Revolution: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Inter Miami CF16-6-11 2nd
- Inter Miami CF rating1604 2nd of 30, 33 games
- New England Revolution18-11-4 3rd
- New England Revolution rating1506 11th of 30, 33 games
Inter Miami CF 16-6-11
Major League Soccer · 2nd
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MIAMI
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MIAMI
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MIAMI
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MIAMI: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Inter Miami CF bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
New England Revolution 18-11-4
Major League Soccer · 3rd
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NEWENGLAND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NEWENGLAND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NEWENGLAND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $NEWENGLAND: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New England Revolution bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Inter Miami CF at New England Revolution
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Final: Inter Miami CF 2, New England Revolution 1. Bandwagon's model had the New England Revolution at 38% and projected level, 1.8 each; spread even, total 3.5.