MLS tonight with Orlando City at Charlotte FC, scoreless in the 6th minute. The model gives Charlotte 48 percent, and no crowd picks are in yet, so there is nothing to read from the fans.
MLS · · Bank of America Stadium · every Major League Soccer line
Orlando City SC vs Charlotte FC: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreOrlando City SC 0, Charlotte FC 4 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerCharlotte FC 48%
- Pregame Projected scoreCharlotte FC 2.3, Orlando City SC 1.8
- Model spreadCharlotte FC −0.5 total 4
- Margin4 projected 0.5
- Total4 projected 4
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Orlando City SC or Charlotte FC: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
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Axle 26–48Market –
FinalPregame: CLT 61%Baseline: CLT 89.0% (+27.7)Big swing: 21.1 ptsClutch window: 4:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CLT | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
ORL 55.6%CLT 44.4%
Orlando City SC at Charlotte FC win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.1 points for CLT over the last 10:00
Big swing21.1 ptstoward CLT at 7:00 of game time
Clutch window4:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineCLT 89.0%game average, +27.7 points from the pregame 61.3%
Orlando City SC vs Charlotte FC live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ORL | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | ORL55.6% | CLT44.4% |
| Shots | ORL15 | CLT16 |
| Shots on target | ORL8 | CLT6 |
| Corners | ORL4 | CLT4 |
| Passes completed | ORL435/505 | CLT340/400 |
| Saves | ORL2 | CLT8 |
| Fouls | ORL12 | CLT12 |
| Offsides | ORL3 | CLT5 |
| Yellow cards | ORL2 | CLT2 |
| Red cards | ORL0 | CLT1 |
Orlando City SC vs Charlotte FC team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ORL | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ORL0 | CLT4 |
| Average win probability | ORL11% | CLT89% |
| Longest scoring run | ORL+0 | CLT+3 |
| Time leading | ORL0:00 | CLT83:00 |
Orlando City SC vs Charlotte FC odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Orlando City SC26%
Win chanceCharlotte FC48%
SpreadCLT −0.5closing model spread
Total4
Moneyline+291away / +282draw / +107homeaway / draw / home
Line movementCLT win chance, 7 stored lines
−7 pts for CLT between Oct 29 and Oct 31
60%41%
Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | CLT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 48% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 47% | −8 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 55% | — |
- Ratings
- CLT 1524 · ORL 1506
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Orlando City SC 0, Charlotte FC 4. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Major League Soccer a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:35 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Orlando City SCCharlotte FC
Neutrals only–
Orlando City SCCharlotte FC
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Charlotte FC–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Orlando City SC vs Charlotte FC prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Charlotte FC a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 48% chance to win and a 26% chance of a draw. The model total is 4. Ratings: Charlotte FC 1537 (6th of 30), Orlando City SC 1492 (15th). The Charlotte FC are 15-10-8; the Orlando City SC are 12-14-7. The Charlotte FC have won 2 of their last 5; the Orlando City SC 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Charlotte FC won 0, the Orlando City SC 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Orlando City SC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Charlotte FC | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Fire FC | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York City FC | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs D.C. United | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto FC | T 3–3 | – | – | matchup |
Charlotte FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Orlando City SC | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs CF Montréal | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Timbers | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Union | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Columbus Crew | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte FC at Orlando City SC | 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando City SC at Charlotte FC | 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte FC at Orlando City SC | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte FC at Orlando City SC | 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando City SC at Charlotte FC | 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte FC at Orlando City SC | 0–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Orlando City SC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Charlotte FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Orlando City SC12-14-7 9th
- Orlando City SC rating1492 15th of 30, 33 games
- Charlotte FC15-10-8 5th
- Charlotte FC rating1537 6th of 30, 33 games
Orlando City SC 12-14-7
Major League Soccer · 9th
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ORLANDO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ORLANDO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ORLANDO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ORLANDO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Orlando City SC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Charlotte FC 15-10-8
Major League Soccer · 5th
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHARLOTTE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHARLOTTE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHARLOTTE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CHARLOTTE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Orlando City SC at Charlotte FC
Sign in to post a take on $ORLANDOCHARLOTTE261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Orlando City SC 0, Charlotte FC 4. Bandwagon's model had the Charlotte FC at 48% and projected Charlotte FC 2.3, Orlando City SC 1.8; spread Charlotte FC −0.5, total 4.