St. Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerMammoth 55%
- Projected scoreMammoth 3.4, Blues 3.1
- Model spreadMammoth −0.5 total 6.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
St. Louis Blues or Utah Mammoth: the bandwagon
Axle 45–55Market 45–55
St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
St. Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
St. Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | STL | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | STL– | UTAH– |
| Average win probability | STL– | UTAH– |
| Longest scoring run | STL– | UTAH– |
| Time leading | STL– | UTAH– |
St. Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UTAH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 55% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:41 PM ET | 54% | −1 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 55% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 54% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 3:36 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:42 PM ET | 55% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 56% | — |
- Ratings
- UTAH 1515 · STL 1505
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Blues vs Mammoth odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Mammoth at 55%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 55%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | STL | UTAH | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 45% | 55% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 45% | 55% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
St. Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mammoth a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 55% chance to win. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Mammoth 1515 (13th of 32), Blues 1505 (16th). The Mammoth are 10-6 in the Central Division; the Blues are 7-7-1 in the Central Division. The Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5; the Blues 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Mammoth won 2, the Blues 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
St. Louis Blues
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New York Rangers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Red Wings | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Bruins | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Montreal Canadiens | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Carolina Hurricanes | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup |
Utah Mammoth
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Flyers | L 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pittsburgh Penguins | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Lightning | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth | 5–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth | 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues | 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues | 7–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues | 1–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth | 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
St. Louis Blues: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Utah Mammoth: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blues7-7-1 Central Division, 6th · L1
- Blues rating1505 16th of 32, 15 games
- Mammoth10-6 Central Division, 2nd · W1
- Mammoth rating1515 13th of 32, 16 games
St. Louis Blues 7-7-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $BLUES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Louis Blues bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Utah Mammoth 10-6
National Hockey League · Central Division · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MAMMOTH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Mammoth bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth
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Model: Mammoth 55% to win. Projected score Mammoth 3.4, Blues 3.1; spread Mammoth −0.5, total 6.5. Polymarket 55% for the Mammoth. St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth, Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET.