Philadelphia Flyers vs Edmonton Oilers prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerOilers 62%
- Projected scoreOilers 3.6, Flyers 2.9
- Model spreadOilers −1 total 6.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Philadelphia Flyers or Edmonton Oilers: the bandwagon
Axle 38–62Market 32–68
Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Edmonton Oilers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Edmonton Oilers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | PHI | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PHI– | EDM– |
| Average win probability | PHI– | EDM– |
| Longest scoring run | PHI– | EDM– |
| Time leading | PHI– | EDM– |
Philadelphia Flyers vs Edmonton Oilers model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | EDM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 62% | −1 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 63% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 8:41 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:41 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:36 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 62% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 59% | +1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 58% | — |
- Ratings
- EDM 1535 · PHI 1471
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Flyers vs Oilers odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Oilers at 68%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 62%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | PHI | EDM | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 32% | 68% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 38% | 62% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Philadelphia Flyers vs Edmonton Oilers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Oilers a 1-point favorite at home, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Oilers 1535 (7th of 32), Flyers 1471 (25th). The Oilers are 11-2-3 in the Pacific Division; the Flyers are 4-9-4 in the Metropolitan Division. The Oilers have won 3 of their last 5; the Flyers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Oilers won 3, the Flyers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Philadelphia Flyers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Mammoth | W 6–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Capitals | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbus Blue Jackets | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Anaheim Ducks | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup |
Edmonton Oilers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New Jersey Devils | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Rangers | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Islanders | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Calgary Flames | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Red Wings | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers | 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers | 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers | 1–4 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Philadelphia Flyers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Edmonton Oilers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Flyers4-9-4 Metropolitan Division, 8th · L1
- Flyers rating1471 25th of 32, 17 games
- Oilers11-2-3 Pacific Division, 1st · L1
- Oilers rating1535 7th of 32, 16 games
Philadelphia Flyers 4-9-4
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $FLYERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Philadelphia Flyers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Edmonton Oilers 11-2-3
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 1st · streak L1
No stances yet today on $OILERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Edmonton Oilers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers
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Model: Oilers 62% to win. Projected score Oilers 3.6, Flyers 2.9; spread Oilers −1, total 6.5. Polymarket 68% for the Oilers. Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers, Wed, Nov 11, 9:00 PM ET.