NHL championship and win total odds on prediction markets vs the Bandwagon model
Title and win-total prices beside the model's rank. NHL games
What is compared
What Kalshi and Polymarket price for each NHL team to win the title and to win more than a set number of regular-season games, beside where Bandwagon's ratings rank the team and how confident the neutrals are in it (the Index). The model has no championship probability of its own; the comparison is the rank.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
NHL championship odds by team
32 teams| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals | Win total Kalshi | Win total Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 11% Kalshi · | 12% Polymarket · | #1 market · #1 ratings | – | – | – |
| Edmonton Oilers | 9.5% Kalshi · | 12% Polymarket · | #2 market · #7 ratings | – | – | – |
| Colorado Avalanche | 11% Kalshi · | 9.5% Polymarket · | #3 market · #2 ratings | – | – | – |
| Minnesota Wild | 9.5% Kalshi · | 7.6% Polymarket · | #4 market · #3 ratings | – | – | – |
| Florida Panthers | 7.5% Kalshi · | 6.5% Polymarket · | #5 market · #15 ratings | – | – | – |
| New Jersey Devils | 7.5% Kalshi · | 6% Polymarket · | #6 market · #14 ratings | – | – | – |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 6.5% Kalshi · | 7.5% Polymarket · | #7 market · #8 ratings | – | – | – |
| Dallas Stars | 5.5% Kalshi · | 5.5% Polymarket · | #8 market · #5 ratings | – | – | – |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 5.5% Kalshi · | 4.5% Polymarket · | #9 market · #4 ratings | – | – | – |
| Washington Capitals | 5.5% Kalshi · | 4.5% Polymarket · | #10 market · #11 ratings | – | – | – |
| Montreal Canadiens | 4.5% Kalshi · | 4.9% Polymarket · | #11 market · #6 ratings | – | – | – |
| Utah Mammoth | 4.5% Kalshi · | 3.3% Polymarket · | #12 market · #13 ratings | – | – | – |
| Ottawa Senators | 2.5% Kalshi · | 3.1% Polymarket · | #13 market · #12 ratings | – | – | – |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 2.5% Kalshi · | 3.1% Polymarket · | #14 market · #24 ratings | – | – | – |
| Boston Bruins | 2.5% Kalshi · | 2.9% Polymarket · | #15 market · #9 ratings | – | – | – |
| San Jose Sharks | 2.5% Kalshi · | 1.5% Polymarket · | #16 market · #30 ratings | – | – | – |
| Los Angeles Kings | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.9% Polymarket · | #17 market · #27 ratings | – | – | – |
| Buffalo Sabres | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.7% Polymarket · | #18 market · #10 ratings | – | – | – |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 0.5% Kalshi · | 1.7% Polymarket · | #19 market · #18 ratings | – | – | – |
| Anaheim Ducks | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.3% Polymarket · | #20 market · #23 ratings | – | – | – |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.1% Polymarket · | #21 market · #17 ratings | – | – | – |
| New York Rangers | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.1% Polymarket · | #22 market · #19 ratings | – | – | – |
| Nashville Predators | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.7% Polymarket · | #23 market · #21 ratings | – | – | – |
| St. Louis Blues | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.7% Polymarket · | #24 market · #16 ratings | – | – | – |
| New York Islanders | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #25 market · #20 ratings | – | – | – |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #26 market · #25 ratings | – | – | – |
| Calgary Flames | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.2% Polymarket · | #27 market · #29 ratings | – | – | – |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.4% Polymarket · | #28 market · #31 ratings | – | – | – |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.2% Polymarket · | #29 market · #22 ratings | – | – | – |
| Seattle Kraken | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #30 market · #26 ratings | – | – | – |
| Vancouver Canucks | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.2% Polymarket · | #31 market · #32 ratings | – | – | – |
| Winnipeg Jets | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #32 market · #28 ratings | – | – | – |
Kalshi's championship prices add up to 110%; Polymarket's championship prices add up to 106%: prices for a field of mutually exclusive outcomes add to a little over 100% because every long shot is quoted at least a cent. These are not normalized here. The win total shown is the line each source prices nearest even; lines differ between sources.
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NHL championship and regular-season win-total prices from Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, next to Bandwagon's rating rank and the Bandwagon Index. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.