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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Bryce Jordan Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Cleveland State Vikings vs Penn State Lady Lions: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Cleveland State Vikings or Penn State Lady Lions: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 53–47Market –

FinalPregame: PSU 47%Baseline: PSU 39.4% (−7.7)Big swing: 43.4 ptsClutch window: 9:59
62+1861+17
Score by period
Team1234T
CLE918171862
PSU1015191761
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Cleveland State Vikings at Penn State Lady Lions win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: Q4Fetched at
Win probability for PSU: 87 points, 47% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00PSU 0%CLE 100%
Win probability for PSU: 87 points, 47% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00PSU 0%CLE 100%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to CLE−47.4 points for PSU over the last 5:00
Big swing43.4 ptstoward CLE at 17:10 of game time
Clutch window9:59within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselinePSU 39.4%game average, −7.7 points from the pregame 47.1%

Cleveland State Vikings vs Penn State Lady Lions live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatCLEPSU
Field goalsCLE20/57PSU21/66
3-pointersCLE8/29PSU6/27
Free throwsCLE14/20PSU13/19
ReboundsCLE41PSU45
AssistsCLE14PSU13
TurnoversCLE15PSU11
StealsCLE5PSU8
BlocksCLE1PSU5
Points in the paintCLE24PSU16
Fast-break pointsCLE6PSU7
FoulsCLE18PSU18
Largest leadCLE7PSU4

Cleveland State Vikings vs Penn State Lady Lions team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatCLEPSU
ScoreCLE62PSU61
Average win probabilityCLE61%PSU39%
Longest scoring runCLE+8PSU+5
Time leadingCLE22:22PSU11:48

Cleveland State Vikings vs Penn State Lady Lions odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET
Vikings53%
Win chance
Lady Lions47%
SpreadPSU −2closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline−112away / +112homeaway / home
Line movementPSU win chance, 14 stored lines
−16 pts for PSU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%37%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: PSU 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: PSU 43%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: PSU 43%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: PSU 43%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: PSU 47%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: PSU 47%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: PSU 47%Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET: PSU 47%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: PSU 47%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: PSU 47%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: PSU 47%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: PSU 47%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: PSU 47%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: PSU 47%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredPSU winMove
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET47%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET47%+4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET43%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET43%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET43%−20
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
PSU 1485 · CLE 1571
Home spread
−2
Stored
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET · 2026-11-02 23:47 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Cleveland State Vikings 62, Penn State Lady Lions 61. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

VikingsLady Lions
Neutrals only–
VikingsLady Lions
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Lady Lions–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Cleveland State Vikings vs Penn State Lady Lions prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Vikings the favorite, with a 53% chance to win; its spread is Lady Lions −2. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Lady Lions 1482 (199th of 356), Vikings 1574 (99th). The Lady Lions are 0-0; the Vikings are 0-0. The Lady Lions have won 3 of their last 5; the Vikings 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Cleveland State Vikings

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Penn State Lady LionsW 62–61––matchup
at Arkansas State Red WolvesL 53–71––matchup
at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersW 66–56––matchup
vs Monmouth HawksW 74–68––matchup
at Youngstown State PenguinsL 55–60––matchup

Penn State Lady Lions

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Cleveland State VikingsL 61–62––matchup
at Indiana HoosiersL 59–93––matchup
vs USC TrojansW 85–82––matchup
at Rutgers Scarlet KnightsW 87–78––matchup
vs Northwestern WildcatsW 81–71––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Cleveland State Vikings: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Penn State Lady Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Vikings0-0 3rd · -
  • Vikings rating1574 99th of 356, 1 games
  • Lady Lions0-0 15th · -
  • Lady Lions rating1482 199th of 356, 1 games

Cleveland State Vikings 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CLEWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CLEWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CLEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cleveland State Vikings bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Vikings roster, schedule and more

Penn State Lady Lions 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 15th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Penn State Lady Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lady Lions roster, schedule and more

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