The Knicks lead 3-2 early in the first, and the model has Philadelphia at 38 percent. That is a long way from a settled game, and nobody in the building should read much into a five-point start.
NBA · · every National Basketball Association line
New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers: final score and how the prediction did, October 30, 2026
- Final scoreKnicks 93, 76ers 98 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerKnicks 62%
- Pregame Projected scoreKnicks 113, 76ers 111
- Model spreadKnicks −2 total 223.5
- Margin5 projected 2
- Total191 projected 223.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New York Knicks or Philadelphia 76ers: the bandwagon
Axle 62–38Market 59–41
FinalPregame: PHI 38%Baseline: PHI 74.9% (+36.8)Big swing: 73.1 ptsClutch window: 8:42
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 21 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 93 |
| PHI | 29 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 98 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to PHI+20.2 points for PHI over the last 5:00
Big swing73.1 ptstoward PHI at 47:15 of game time
Clutch window8:42within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselinePHI 74.9%game average, +36.8 points from the pregame 38.2%
New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NY | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NY35/86 | PHI37/75 |
| 3-pointers | NY13/41 | PHI12/34 |
| Free throws | NY10/14 | PHI12/16 |
| Rebounds | NY45 | PHI39 |
| Assists | NY23 | PHI26 |
| Turnovers | NY13 | PHI14 |
| Steals | NY8 | PHI7 |
| Blocks | NY2 | PHI4 |
| Points in the paint | NY34 | PHI36 |
| Fast-break points | NY5 | PHI10 |
| Fouls | NY15 | PHI15 |
| Largest lead | NY1 | PHI14 |
New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NY | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NY93 | PHI98 |
| Average win probability | NY25% | PHI75% |
| Longest scoring run | NY+7 | PHI+6 |
| Time leading | NY0:43 | PHI45:55 |
New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET
Knicks62%
Win chance76ers38%
SpreadNY −2closing model spread
Total223.5
Moneyline−161away / +161homeaway / home
Line movementPHI win chance, 13 stored lines
−17 pts for PHI between Oct 28 and Oct 30
60%28%
Oct 28Oct 30
Every stored line
| Stored | PHI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 38% | +5 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 33% | −22 |
| Oct 28, 10:45 PM ET | 55% | — |
- Ratings
- PHI 1561 · NY 1716
- Home spread
- +2
- Stored
- Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET · 2026-10-31 01:36 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: New York Knicks 93, Philadelphia 76ers 98. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:38 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 2 picks
Be the first on the bandwagon
Knicks76ers
Neutrals only–
Knicks76ers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, 76ers–
2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Knicks vs 76ers odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Knicks at 59% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 59% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 62% when last read, .
| Source | NY | PHI | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 59% | 41% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 59% | 41% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 62% | 38% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, PHI: +3Polymarket minus model, PHI: +3
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Knicks a 2-point favorite, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 223.5. Ratings: 76ers 1588 (9th of 30), Knicks 1706 (3rd). The 76ers are 7-1 in the Atlantic; the Knicks are 3-4 in the Atlantic. The 76ers have won 4 of their last 5; the Knicks 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the 76ers won 2, the Knicks 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New York Knicks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Brooklyn Nets | W 103–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia 76ers | L 93–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Bulls | W 133–127 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Pistons | W 111–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Orlando Magic | L 102–111 | – | – | matchup |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago Bulls | W 126–107 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte Hornets | W 109–104 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Knicks | W 98–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indiana Pacers | W 114–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Pistons | L 93–106 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks | 106–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers | 97–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers | 144–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers | 108–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks | 102–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks | 98–137 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New York Knicks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Philadelphia 76ers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Knicks3-4 Atlantic, 2nd · W1
- Knicks rating1706 3rd of 30, 7 games
- 76ers7-1 Atlantic, 5th · W4
- 76ers rating1588 9th of 30, 8 games
New York Knicks 3-4
National Basketball Association · Atlantic · 2nd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KNICKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KNICKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KNICKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $KNICKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New York Knicks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Atlantic · 5th · streak W4
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $76ERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $76ERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $76ERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
1 stance today on $76ERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Philadelphia 76ers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers
Sign in to post a take on $KNICKS76ERS261030: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Knicks 93, 76ers 98. Bandwagon's model had the Knicks at 62% and projected Knicks 113, 76ers 111; spread Knicks −2, total 223.5. Last read: Kalshi 59%, Polymarket 59% for the Knicks.