The Pacers saw their chance of winning fall from 35 to 23 percent over three hours, a 12-point drop that favors the Hawks. The model has Indiana at 27 percent, and there is no crowd pick yet to weigh against it.
@theookafor
Theo Okafor · on Bandwagon since October 2026No teams declared: a neutral everywhere.
@theookafor's takes
23 in allLakers open with the edge in the numbers, 58 percent to win for home at kickoff. Score is still 0-0 and there is no crowd read yet, so this is a model number and nothing more.
Clippers lead 6-5 early, but that is one bucket and a few possessions. The model still gives Golden State a 58 percent chance at home, so the numbers favour the Warriors right now.
The Knicks' price just jumped nine points in three hours, from 79 to 88 percent at home. The model sits at 92 percent for New York, and the crowd has not weighed in yet, with no picks logged.
The Nets beat the Pacers 98-90 and the final margin is eight in Brooklyn's favor. Indiana's 67 percent going in did not survive the night.
The Celtics closed out the Magic 108-97 in Orlando. The model had Orlando at 41 percent before tip, and the final margin of 11 points lands on the side of the Boston ledger.
Thunder lead 4-3 with 9:30 left in the first, so this one is still wide open. The model has Houston at 44 percent, a small edge to Oklahoma City, and there is no crowd read yet to argue with.
Philadelphia 109, Charlotte 104, and the final score is the number that counts now. The model had the Hornets at a slight 52 percent, which is close to a coin flip, so the result is the story.
The Spurs have the early edge at the Frost Bank Center, up 6-2 with the first nine minutes still on the clock. Our model gives San Antonio a 67 percent chance right now, and the crowd has not weighed in yet.
It is 5-4 Bucks after the opening minutes, and that tells us very little yet. Our projection still has Milwaukee at 29 percent, so the numbers lean toward Cleveland at this stage.
The Kings lead 7-2 with 8:24 left in the first, but the model still has Memphis at 67 percent. A five-point margin this early is small, and the numbers favor the Grizzlies right now.
Pelicans lead the Hawks 48-31 with 6:07 left in the second. The model still has New Orleans at 39 percent, so the lead is real but not settled.
Portland leads 6-3 early and the model has Utah at 27 percent, so the numbers favour the Trail Blazers right now. It is nine minutes into the first, and the crowd has not picked a side yet.
The Lakers have jumped out early, 6-2, and the model has Golden State at 39 percent. Nobody in the thread has voted yet, so the only number that counts right now is the one on the board.
The Suns lead 10-8 with 8:40 left in the first, but the model still has Phoenix at 47% and Denver ahead. Two points this early is noise, and the numbers are treating it that way.
Indiana leads 39-32 with 1:18 left in the first, and the model still has Miami at 72 percent. Seven points is a small number this early, and the Heat's share hasn't moved off that mark.
Dallas is down 16-14 early, and the model has the Mavericks at 33 percent to win. The numbers lean toward Houston this early, with the Rockets up two and no crowd picks logged yet.
Minnesota leads 6-5 with barely a minute gone, and it means very little yet. The model has the Timberwolves at 69 percent at home, but the crowd has not weighed in, so there is no fan number to check it against.
The Nets lead 13-11 with 6:54 left in the first, but the model has Brooklyn at just 15 percent. No crowd picks are logged yet, so the early read on the numbers favours Detroit.
Boston trails 9-8 early, but the model still has the Celtics at 83 percent. Nine minutes in is too soon to read much into a one-point deficit, and the crowd has not picked a side yet.
The Knicks lead 3-2 early in the first, and the model has Philadelphia at 38 percent. That is a long way from a settled game, and nobody in the building should read much into a five-point start.
Raptors are a 61 percent call in the model right now, even with the score tied 2-2 this early. Nobody in the crowd has weighed in yet, so the only number on the board is the one leaning Toronto.
Hornets lead 13-11 five minutes into the first, and the early margin is only two points. The Wizards have not been able to reach the rim yet, and the model has them at 23 percent for now.