The Celtics closed out the Magic 108-97 in Orlando. The model had Orlando at 41 percent before tip, and the final margin of 11 points lands on the side of the Boston ledger.
NBA · · Kia Center · every National Basketball Association line
Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreCeltics 108, Magic 97 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerCeltics 59%
- Pregame Projected scoreCeltics 115, Magic 114
- Model spreadCeltics −1 total 229.5
- Margin11 projected 1
- Total205 projected 229.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Boston Celtics or Orlando Magic: the bandwagon
Bandwagon1 on the bandwagon so far
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 59–41Market 71–29
FinalPregame: ORL 41%Baseline: ORL 27.1% (−13.4)Big swing: 27.2 ptsClutch window: 2:12
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 24 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 108 |
| ORL | 23 | 27 | 24 | 23 | 97 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−1.6 points for ORL over the last 5:00
Big swing27.2 ptstoward BOS at 15:07 of game time
Clutch window2:12within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineORL 27.1%game average, −13.4 points from the pregame 40.5%
Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BOS | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | BOS37/84 | ORL34/81 |
| 3-pointers | BOS12/44 | ORL14/39 |
| Free throws | BOS22/26 | ORL15/19 |
| Rebounds | BOS41 | ORL43 |
| Assists | BOS29 | ORL24 |
| Turnovers | BOS13 | ORL18 |
| Steals | BOS9 | ORL6 |
| Blocks | BOS7 | ORL2 |
| Points in the paint | BOS38 | ORL36 |
| Fast-break points | BOS9 | ORL11 |
| Fouls | BOS22 | ORL22 |
| Largest lead | BOS15 | ORL9 |
Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BOS | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BOS108 | ORL97 |
| Average win probability | BOS73% | ORL27% |
| Longest scoring run | BOS+7 | ORL+10 |
| Time leading | BOS33:39 | ORL12:12 |
Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET
Celtics59%
Win chanceMagic41%
SpreadBOS −1closing model spread
Total229.5
Moneyline−147away / +147homeaway / home
Line movementORL win chance, 16 stored lines
+1 pts for ORL between Oct 28 and Nov 1
51%35%
Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | ORL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 41% | −5 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:11 PM ET | 46% | +2 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 44% | +4 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 40% | — |
- Ratings
- ORL 1540 · BOS 1631
- Home spread
- +1
- Stored
- Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET · 2026-11-01 10:02 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- spread −0.5 → +1, home 46% → 41%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Boston Celtics 108, Orlando Magic 97. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:38 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
CelticsMagic
Neutrals only–
CelticsMagic
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Magic–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Celtics vs Magic odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Celtics at 72% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 71% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 59% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | BOS | ORL | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 72% | 28% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 71% | 29% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 59% | 41% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, ORL: −12Polymarket minus model, ORL: −11
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Celtics a 1-point favorite, with a 59% chance to win. The model total is 229.5. Ratings: Magic 1500 (16th of 30), Celtics 1634 (6th). The Magic are 2-5 in the Southeast; the Celtics are 5-2 in the Atlantic. The Magic have won 2 of their last 5; the Celtics 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Magic won 1, the Celtics 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Boston Celtics
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee Bucks | W 109–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Rockets | L 93–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Orlando Magic | W 108–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago Bulls | W 125–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brooklyn Nets | W 125–124 | – | – | matchup |
Orlando Magic
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Washington Wizards | L 94–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Celtics | L 97–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto Raptors | W 121–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto Raptors | L 99–129 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Knicks | W 111–102 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics | 108–113 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics | 129–138 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic | 111–107 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic | 110–123 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics | 89–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic | 107–98 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Boston Celtics: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Orlando Magic: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Celtics5-2 Atlantic, 4th · L1
- Celtics rating1634 6th of 30, 7 games
- Magic2-5 Southeast, 2nd · L2
- Magic rating1500 16th of 30, 7 games
Boston Celtics 5-2
National Basketball Association · Atlantic · 4th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagon2 stances so far today on $CELTICS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $CELTICS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $CELTICS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
2 stances today on $CELTICS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston Celtics bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Orlando Magic 2-5
National Basketball Association · Southeast · 2nd · streak L2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MAGIC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MAGIC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MAGIC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MAGIC: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Orlando Magic bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic
Sign in to post a take on $CELTICSMAGIC261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Celtics 108, Magic 97. Bandwagon's model had the Celtics at 59% and projected Celtics 115, Magic 114; spread Celtics −1, total 229.5. Last read: Kalshi 72%, Polymarket 71% for the Celtics.