Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreWizards 103, Magic 94 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerMagic 67%
- Pregame Projected scoreMagic 116, Wizards 109
- Model spreadMagic −6.5 total 225
- Margin9 projected 6.6
- Total197 projected 225
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Washington Wizards or Orlando Magic: the bandwagon
Axle 33–67Market 42–58
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 28 | 32 | 19 | 24 | 103 |
| ORL | 33 | 26 | 9 | 26 | 94 |
Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | WSH | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | WSH40/75 | ORL37/80 |
| 3-pointers | WSH9/24 | ORL11/39 |
| Free throws | WSH14/18 | ORL9/10 |
| Rebounds | WSH35 | ORL32 |
| Assists | WSH26 | ORL23 |
| Turnovers | WSH16 | ORL18 |
| Steals | WSH10 | ORL6 |
| Blocks | WSH5 | ORL1 |
| Points in the paint | WSH44 | ORL48 |
| Fast-break points | WSH21 | ORL9 |
| Fouls | WSH17 | ORL19 |
| Largest lead | WSH11 | ORL9 |
Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | WSH | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WSH103 | ORL94 |
| Average win probability | WSH55% | ORL45% |
| Longest scoring run | WSH+8 | ORL+13 |
| Time leading | WSH30:39 | ORL12:10 |
Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ORL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 67% | −2 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 69% | −12 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:11 PM ET | 81% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 80% | −2 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 82% | −3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 85% | — |
- Ratings
- ORL 1524 · WSH 1289
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:36 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Washington Wizards 103, Orlando Magic 94. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:38 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Wizards vs Magic odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Magic at 58% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 59% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 67% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | WSH | ORL | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 42% | 58% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 41% | 59% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 33% | 67% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Magic a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 225. Ratings: Magic 1500 (16th of 30), Wizards 1313 (27th). The Magic are 2-5 in the Southeast; the Wizards are 4-3 in the Southeast. The Magic have won 2 of their last 5; the Wizards 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Magic won 5, the Wizards 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Washington Wizards
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Atlanta Hawks | L 105–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Orlando Magic | W 103–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte Hornets | W 95–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland Cavaliers | L 111–121 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte Hornets | L 103–110 | – | – | matchup |
Orlando Magic
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Washington Wizards | L 94–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Celtics | L 97–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto Raptors | W 121–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto Raptors | L 99–129 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Knicks | W 111–102 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic | 131–136 | – | – | matchup | |
| Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic | 109–126 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Magic at Washington Wizards | 112–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Magic at Washington Wizards | 125–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Magic at Washington Wizards | 109–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Magic at Washington Wizards | 120–105 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Washington Wizards: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Orlando Magic: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wizards4-3 Southeast, 5th · W2
- Wizards rating1313 27th of 30, 7 games
- Magic2-5 Southeast, 2nd · L2
- Magic rating1500 16th of 30, 7 games
National Basketball Association · Southeast · 5th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $WIZARDS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Washington Wizards bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Orlando Magic 2-5
National Basketball Association · Southeast · 2nd · streak L2
No stances yet today on $MAGIC: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Orlando Magic bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic
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Final: Wizards 103, Magic 94. Bandwagon's model had the Magic at 67% and projected Magic 116, Wizards 109; spread Magic −6.5, total 225. Last read: Kalshi 58%, Polymarket 59% for the Magic.