Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreCeltics 93, Rockets 109 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerRockets 63%
- Pregame Projected scoreRockets 117, Celtics 112
- Model spreadRockets −5 total 228.5
- Margin16 projected 5.1
- Total202 projected 228.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Boston Celtics or Houston Rockets: the bandwagon
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Axle 38–63Market 37–63
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 29 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 93 |
| HOU | 29 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 109 |
Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BOS | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | BOS32/83 | HOU43/79 |
| 3-pointers | BOS12/42 | HOU14/35 |
| Free throws | BOS17/20 | HOU9/13 |
| Rebounds | BOS38 | HOU36 |
| Assists | BOS20 | HOU34 |
| Turnovers | BOS16 | HOU14 |
| Steals | BOS6 | HOU8 |
| Blocks | BOS2 | HOU5 |
| Points in the paint | BOS34 | HOU50 |
| Fast-break points | BOS2 | HOU18 |
| Fouls | BOS19 | HOU22 |
| Largest lead | BOS0 | HOU18 |
Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BOS | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BOS93 | HOU109 |
| Average win probability | BOS18% | HOU82% |
| Longest scoring run | BOS+6 | HOU+5 |
| Time leading | BOS0:00 | HOU45:39 |
Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | HOU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 63% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 62% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET | 63% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 62% | −1 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 63% | −1 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 64% | +7 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 57% | +2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:51 PM ET | 55% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:11 PM ET | 56% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 57% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 56% | — |
- Ratings
- HOU 1639 · BOS 1647
- Home spread
- −5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:41 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Boston Celtics 93, Houston Rockets 109. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Nov 2, 8:59 AM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Celtics vs Rockets odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Rockets at 63% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 63% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 63% when last read, .
| Source | BOS | HOU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 37% | 63% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 37% | 63% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 38% | 63% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rockets a 5-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 228.5. Ratings: Rockets 1632 (7th of 30), Celtics 1635 (5th). The Rockets are 7-1 in the Southwest; the Celtics are 5-2 in the Atlantic. The Rockets have won 3 of their last 5; the Celtics 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Rockets won 2, the Celtics 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Boston Celtics
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee Bucks | W 109–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Rockets | L 93–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Orlando Magic | W 108–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago Bulls | W 125–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brooklyn Nets | W 125–124 | – | – | matchup |
Houston Rockets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota Timberwolves | L 107–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Celtics | W 109–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma City Thunder | W 119–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dallas Mavericks | L 111–116 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Milwaukee Bucks | W 132–100 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets | 114–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics | 128–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics | 114–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets | 109–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets | 116–107 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics | 113–145 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Boston Celtics: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Houston Rockets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Celtics5-2 Atlantic, 4th · L1
- Celtics rating1635 5th of 30, 8 games
- Rockets7-1 Southwest, 5th · W2
- Rockets rating1632 7th of 30, 9 games
Boston Celtics 5-2
National Basketball Association · Atlantic · 4th · streak L1
2 stances today on $CELTICS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston Celtics bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Houston Rockets 7-1
National Basketball Association · Southwest · 5th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $ROCKETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Houston Rockets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets
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Final: Celtics 93, Rockets 109. Bandwagon's model had the Rockets at 63% and projected Rockets 117, Celtics 112; spread Rockets −5, total 228.5. Last read: Kalshi 63%, Polymarket 63% for the Rockets.