Clippers lead 6-5 early, but that is one bucket and a few possessions. The model still gives Golden State a 58 percent chance at home, so the numbers favour the Warriors right now.
NBA · · Chase Center · every National Basketball Association line
LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreClippers 112, Warriors 124 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerWarriors 58%
- Pregame Projected scoreWarriors 115, Clippers 111
- Model spreadWarriors −4 total 226.5
- Margin12 projected 4
- Total236 projected 226.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
LA Clippers or Golden State Warriors: the bandwagon
Axle 42–58Market 46–54
FinalPregame: GS 58%Baseline: GS 73.7% (+15.5)Big swing: 22.4 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 37 | 20 | 28 | 27 | 112 |
| GS | 29 | 34 | 29 | 32 | 124 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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LA Clippers at Golden State Warriors win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for GS over the last 5:00
Big swing22.4 ptstoward LAC at 9:21 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineGS 73.7%game average, +15.5 points from the pregame 58.2%
LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | LAC | GS |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | LAC40/91 | GS46/86 |
| 3-pointers | LAC14/39 | GS22/49 |
| Free throws | LAC18/19 | GS10/14 |
| Rebounds | LAC42 | GS44 |
| Assists | LAC22 | GS32 |
| Turnovers | LAC14 | GS15 |
| Steals | LAC11 | GS5 |
| Blocks | LAC0 | GS5 |
| Points in the paint | LAC48 | GS44 |
| Fast-break points | LAC13 | GS20 |
| Fouls | LAC17 | GS18 |
| Largest lead | LAC11 | GS22 |
LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | LAC | GS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAC112 | GS124 |
| Average win probability | LAC26% | GS74% |
| Longest scoring run | LAC+13 | GS+13 |
| Time leading | LAC14:19 | GS31:05 |
LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET
Clippers42%
Win chanceWarriors58%
SpreadGS −4closing model spread
Total226.5
Moneyline+139away / −139homeaway / home
Line movementGS win chance, 18 stored lines
+11 pts for GS between Oct 28 and Nov 1
64%41%
Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | GS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 58% | +2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:56 AM ET | 56% | +3 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 53% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 52% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 50% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 47% | — |
- Ratings
- GS 1481 · LAC 1487
- Home spread
- −4
- Stored
- Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET · 2026-11-02 00:51 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: LA Clippers 112, Golden State Warriors 124. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 31, 5:30 AM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
ClippersWarriors
Neutrals only–
ClippersWarriors
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Warriors–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Clippers vs Warriors odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Warriors at 54% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 55% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 58% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | LAC | GS | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 46% | 54% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 45% | 55% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 42% | 58% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, GS: −4Polymarket minus model, GS: −4
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Warriors a 4-point favorite at home, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 226.5. Ratings: Warriors 1497 (17th of 30), Clippers 1462 (20th). The Warriors are 5-3 in the Pacific; the Clippers are 1-6 in the Pacific. The Warriors have won 5 of their last 5; the Clippers 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Warriors won 2, the Clippers 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
LA Clippers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Toronto Raptors | L 118–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Golden State Warriors | L 112–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Timberwolves | L 101–127 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Lakers | L 87–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma City Thunder | L 101–108 | – | – | matchup |
Golden State Warriors
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Phoenix Suns | W 116–113 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs LA Clippers | W 124–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Lakers | W 112–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Timberwolves | W 119–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Denver Nuggets | W 134–114 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors at LA Clippers | 101–104 | – | – | matchup | |
| Golden State Warriors at LA Clippers | 126–121 | – | – | matchup | |
| Golden State Warriors at LA Clippers | 110–115 | – | – | matchup | |
| LA Clippers at Golden State Warriors | 114–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| Golden State Warriors at LA Clippers | 102–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| LA Clippers at Golden State Warriors | 79–98 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
LA Clippers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Golden State Warriors: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Clippers1-6 Pacific, 1st · L6
- Clippers rating1462 20th of 30, 7 games
- Warriors5-3 Pacific, 4th · W5
- Warriors rating1497 17th of 30, 8 games
LA Clippers 1-6
National Basketball Association · Pacific · 1st · streak L6
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CLIPPERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CLIPPERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CLIPPERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CLIPPERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the LA Clippers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Pacific · 4th · streak W5
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WARRIORS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WARRIORS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WARRIORS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $WARRIORS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Golden State Warriors bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on LA Clippers at Golden State Warriors
Sign in to post a take on $CLIPPERSWARRIORS261102: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Clippers 112, Warriors 124. Bandwagon's model had the Warriors at 58% and projected Warriors 115, Clippers 111; spread Warriors −4, total 226.5. Last read: Kalshi 54%, Polymarket 55% for the Warriors.