NHLCGY 1 SEA 1· 2:55 - 3rdNHLSJ 2 LA 6· 9:17 - 3rdNBALAL 106 SAC 94· 2:52 - 4thNBAMIA 86 LAC 89· 8:33 - 4thWCBBUNF–FSU11:00 AMWCBBM-OH–SEMO12:00 PMWCBBHAMP–SMU12:00 PMWCBBSTBK–IONA1:00 PMWCBBUNT–SDSU2:00 PMWCBBHAW–SF3:00 PMWCBBUIC–RMU4:00 PMWCBBUCF–FLA4:30 PMCBBMCN–UNT5:00 PMWCBBUWF–WCU6:00 PMWCBBDART–HC6:00 PMWCBBMSM–UMBC6:00 PMWCBBMRST–BRY6:00 PMWCBBPRES–WAKE6:00 PMWCBBSIE–ME6:00 PMCBBWAKE–VAN6:00 PMCBBUTC–PSU6:00 PMCBBBELL–IU6:00 PMCBBCHST–UIW6:00 PMWCBBCLT–TTU6:00 PMWCBBCCSU–JMU6:00 PMWCBBMRMK–NJIT6:00 PMWCBBCAN–UNH6:00 PMWCBBLIP–BTLR6:30 PMWCBBCMU–OSU6:30 PMWCBBNKU–UK6:30 PMWCBBCONN–MICH6:30 PMWCBBSIUE–IUIN6:30 PMWCBBMAN–UALB6:30 PMCBBLIU–HALL6:30 PMWCBBJAX–MIA7:00 PMWCBBSAM–GT7:00 PMWCBBTENN–COPP7:00 PMWCBBARMY–BRWN7:00 PMNHLVGK–DET7:00 PMWCBBUSM–AUB7:00 PMAll scores
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Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Phoenix Suns or Golden State Warriors: the bandwagon

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Suns▲ Hop on▼ Jump off
Warriors▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 47–53Market 44–56

FinalPregame: GS 53%Baseline: GS 38.4% (−14.3)Big swing: 38.4 ptsClutch window: 11:22
Phoenix Suns
Record 1-4
113+20116+23
Golden State Warriors
Record 5-3
Score by period
Team1234T
PHX31263620113
GS19324223116
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: Q4Fetched at
Win probability for GS: 76 points, 53% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0012:0024:0036:0048:00GS 100%PHX 0%Market 56%
Win probability for GS: 76 points, 53% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0024:0048:00GS 100%PHX 0%Market 56%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to GS+73.3 points for GS over the last 5:00
Big swing38.4 ptstoward PHX at 17:21 of game time
Clutch window11:22within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineGS 38.4%game average, −14.3 points from the pregame 52.7%

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatPHXGS
Field goalsPHX40/85GS36/83
3-pointersPHX11/30GS13/42
Free throwsPHX22/30GS31/37
ReboundsPHX37GS43
AssistsPHX28GS23
TurnoversPHX15GS13
StealsPHX11GS7
BlocksPHX5GS2
Points in the paintPHX48GS42
Fast-break pointsPHX14GS7
FoulsPHX29GS22
Largest leadPHX17GS7

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatPHXGS
ScorePHX113GS116
Average win probabilityPHX62%GS38%
Longest scoring runPHX+9GS+12
Time leadingPHX19:10GS8:48

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors model odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET
Suns47%
Win chance
Warriors53%
SpreadGS −2.5closing model spread
Total231
Moneyline+111away / −111homeaway / home
Line movementGS win chance, 33 stored lines
+5 pts for GS between Oct 28 and Nov 3
61%43%
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET: GS 48%Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET: GS 48%Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET: GS 49%Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET: GS 49%Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET: GS 49%Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET: GS 49%Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: GS 49%Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET: GS 49%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: GS 51%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: GS 51%Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET: GS 51%Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET: GS 51%Oct 31, 12:36 AM ET: GS 53%Oct 31, 12:56 AM ET: GS 55%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: GS 55%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: GS 51%Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET: GS 51%Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET: GS 51%Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: GS 53%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: GS 53%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: GS 53%
Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
StoredGS winMove
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET53%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET53%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET53%0
Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET53%0
Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET53%+2
Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET51%0
Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET51%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET51%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET55%0
Oct 31, 12:56 AM ET55%+2
Oct 31, 12:36 AM ET53%+2
Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET51%0
Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET51%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET51%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET51%+2
Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET49%0
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET49%0
Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET49%0
Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET49%0
Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET49%0
Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET49%+1
Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET48%0
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET48%—
Ratings
GS 1492 · PHX 1490
Home spread
−2.5
Stored
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET · 2026-11-03 05:39 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Phoenix Suns 113, Golden State Warriors 116. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 31, 5:30 AM UTC
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

SunsWarriors
Neutrals only–
SunsWarriors
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Warriors–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Suns vs Warriors odds on Kalshi and Polymarket

Every NBA market

Kalshi had the Warriors at 57% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 56% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 53% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.

SourcePHXGSPrice read
Kalshi43%57% · closing price
Polymarket44%56% · closing price
Bandwagon model47%53% · model 2.0
Kalshi minus model, GS: +4Polymarket minus model, GS: +3

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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Warriors a 2.5-point favorite at home, with a 53% chance to win. The model total is 231. Ratings: Warriors 1497 (17th of 30), Suns 1486 (18th). The Warriors are 5-3 in the Pacific; the Suns are 1-4 in the Pacific. The Warriors have won 5 of their last 5; the Suns 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Warriors won 3, the Suns 3.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Phoenix Suns

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Portland Trail BlazersL 119–132––matchup
at Golden State WarriorsL 113–116––matchup
vs Denver NuggetsL 120–127––matchup
at Oklahoma City ThunderL 114–125––matchup
vs Golden State WarriorsW 131–122––matchup

Golden State Warriors

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Phoenix SunsW 116–113––matchup
vs LA ClippersW 124–112––matchup
vs Los Angeles LakersW 112–95––matchup
at Minnesota TimberwolvesW 119–114––matchup
at Denver NuggetsW 134–114––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns122–131––matchup
Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns96–111––matchup
Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns101–97––matchup
Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors116–119––matchup
Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns98–99––matchup
Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors107–118––matchup

Injuries

Phoenix Suns: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Golden State Warriors: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Suns1-4 Pacific, 3rd · L3
  • Suns rating1486 18th of 30, 5 games
  • Warriors5-3 Pacific, 4th · W5
  • Warriors rating1497 17th of 30, 8 games

Phoenix Suns 1-4

National Basketball Association · Pacific · 3rd · streak L3

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SUNS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SUNS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SUNS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SUNS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Phoenix Suns bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Suns roster, schedule and more

Golden State Warriors 5-3

National Basketball Association · Pacific · 4th · streak W5

–
Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $WARRIORS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $WARRIORS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WARRIORS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

1 stance today on $WARRIORS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Golden State Warriors bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Warriors roster, schedule and more

Takes on Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors

Sign in to post a take on $SUNSWARRIORS261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Final: Suns 113, Warriors 116. Bandwagon's model had the Warriors at 53% and projected Warriors 117, Suns 114; spread Warriors −2.5, total 231. Last read: Kalshi 57%, Polymarket 56% for the Warriors.