Portland leads 6-3 early and the model has Utah at 27 percent, so the numbers favour the Trail Blazers right now. It is nine minutes into the first, and the crowd has not picked a side yet.
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Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreTrail Blazers 112, Jazz 90 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerTrail Blazers 73%
- Pregame Projected scoreTrail Blazers 118, Jazz 113
- Model spreadTrail Blazers −5.5 total 231
- Margin22 projected 5.5
- Total202 projected 231
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Portland Trail Blazers or Utah Jazz: the bandwagon
Axle 73–27Market 70–30
FinalPregame: UTAH 27%Baseline: UTAH 5.3% (−22.1)Big swing: 6.2 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 27 | 32 | 29 | 24 | 112 |
| UTAH | 18 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 90 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.0 points for UTAH over the last 5:00
Big swing6.2 ptstoward UTAH at 10:26 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineUTAH 5.3%game average, −22.1 points from the pregame 27.4%
Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | POR | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | POR31/76 | UTAH29/78 |
| 3-pointers | POR16/44 | UTAH11/40 |
| Free throws | POR34/41 | UTAH21/26 |
| Rebounds | POR48 | UTAH37 |
| Assists | POR16 | UTAH23 |
| Turnovers | POR19 | UTAH20 |
| Steals | POR13 | UTAH12 |
| Blocks | POR3 | UTAH7 |
| Points in the paint | POR26 | UTAH28 |
| Fast-break points | POR6 | UTAH14 |
| Fouls | POR26 | UTAH26 |
| Largest lead | POR28 | UTAH1 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | POR | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | POR112 | UTAH90 |
| Average win probability | POR95% | UTAH5% |
| Longest scoring run | POR+16 | UTAH+7 |
| Time leading | POR43:05 | UTAH0:00 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Trail Blazers73%
Win chanceJazz27%
SpreadPOR −5.5closing model spread
Total231
Moneyline−265away / +265homeaway / home
Line movementUTAH win chance, 15 stored lines
+9 pts for UTAH between Oct 28 and Oct 31
33%12%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | UTAH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 AM ET | 27% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 24% | +6 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 18% | — |
- Ratings
- UTAH 1272 · POR 1532
- Home spread
- +5.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Portland Trail Blazers 112, Utah Jazz 90. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:38 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Trail BlazersJazz
Neutrals only–
Trail BlazersJazz
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Jazz–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Trail Blazers vs Jazz odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Trail Blazers at 71% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 70% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 73% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | POR | UTAH | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 71% | 30% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 70% | 31% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 73% | 27% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, UTAH: +2Polymarket minus model, UTAH: +3
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Trail Blazers a 5.5-point favorite, with a 73% chance to win. The model total is 231. Ratings: Jazz 1260 (30th of 30), Trail Blazers 1562 (12th). The Jazz are 1-5 in the Northwest; the Trail Blazers are 4-1 in the Northwest. The Jazz have won 0 of their last 5; the Trail Blazers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Jazz won 2, the Trail Blazers 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Portland Trail Blazers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Denver Nuggets | W 118–110 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Jazz | W 112–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Grizzlies | L 103–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Lakers | W 136–129 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacramento Kings | W 128–120 | – | – | matchup |
Utah Jazz
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at San Antonio Spurs | L 97–119 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Trail Blazers | L 90–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Antonio Spurs | L 111–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Grizzlies | L 105–110 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Lakers | L 123–132 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Jazz at Portland Trail Blazers | 114–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz | 135–119 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Jazz at Portland Trail Blazers | 117–137 | – | – | matchup | |
| Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz | 136–134 | – | – | matchup | |
| Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz | 129–132 | – | – | matchup | |
| Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz | 126–133 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Portland Trail Blazers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Utah Jazz: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Trail Blazers4-1 Northwest, 5th · W1
- Trail Blazers rating1562 12th of 30, 6 games
- Jazz1-5 Northwest, 1st · L4
- Jazz rating1260 30th of 30, 7 games
National Basketball Association · Northwest · 5th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TRAILBLAZERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TRAILBLAZERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TRAILBLAZERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $TRAILBLAZERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Portland Trail Blazers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Utah Jazz 1-5
National Basketball Association · Northwest · 1st · streak L4
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JAZZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JAZZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $JAZZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $JAZZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Jazz bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz
Sign in to post a take on $TRAILBLAZERSJAZZ261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Trail Blazers 112, Jazz 90. Bandwagon's model had the Trail Blazers at 73% and projected Trail Blazers 118, Jazz 113; spread Trail Blazers −5.5, total 231. Last read: Kalshi 71%, Polymarket 70% for the Trail Blazers.