Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreJazz 97, Spurs 119 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSpurs 92%
- Pregame Projected scoreSpurs 123, Jazz 105
- Model spreadSpurs −18.5 total 228
- Margin22 projected 18.3
- Total216 projected 228
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Utah Jazz or San Antonio Spurs: the bandwagon
Axle 8–92Market 10–90
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 16 | 33 | 20 | 28 | 97 |
| SA | 27 | 32 | 35 | 25 | 119 |
Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UTAH | SA |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | UTAH34/96 | SA42/91 |
| 3-pointers | UTAH12/34 | SA11/32 |
| Free throws | UTAH17/22 | SA24/30 |
| Rebounds | UTAH53 | SA53 |
| Assists | UTAH16 | SA27 |
| Turnovers | UTAH11 | SA12 |
| Steals | UTAH9 | SA6 |
| Blocks | UTAH7 | SA7 |
| Points in the paint | UTAH36 | SA52 |
| Fast-break points | UTAH9 | SA26 |
| Fouls | UTAH17 | SA23 |
| Largest lead | UTAH2 | SA26 |
Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UTAH | SA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTAH97 | SA119 |
| Average win probability | UTAH2% | SA98% |
| Longest scoring run | UTAH+6 | SA+10 |
| Time leading | UTAH0:00 | SA46:29 |
Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:31 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:31 PM ET | 92% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 91% | −3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 94% | −1 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 95% | +1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 94% | — |
- Ratings
- SA 1719 · UTAH 1261
- Home spread
- −18.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:32 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Utah Jazz 97, San Antonio Spurs 119. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:38 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Jazz vs Spurs odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Spurs at 90% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 90% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 92% when last read, .
| Source | UTAH | SA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 10% | 90% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 10% | 90% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 8% | 92% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Spurs a 18.5-point favorite at home, with a 92% chance to win. The model total is 228. Ratings: Spurs 1721 (1st of 30), Jazz 1260 (30th). The Spurs are 5-2 in the Southwest; the Jazz are 1-6 in the Northwest. The Spurs have won 5 of their last 5; the Jazz 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Spurs won 4, the Jazz 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Utah Jazz
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at San Antonio Spurs | L 97–119 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Trail Blazers | L 90–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Antonio Spurs | L 111–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Grizzlies | L 105–110 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Lakers | L 123–132 | – | – | matchup |
San Antonio Spurs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah Jazz | W 119–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Timberwolves | W 121–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Jazz | W 117–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento Kings | W 130–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dallas Mavericks | W 122–106 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz | 117–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz | 109–119 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz | 126–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs | 110–123 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs | 127–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs | 130–134 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Utah Jazz: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San Antonio Spurs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jazz1-6 Northwest, 1st · L5
- Jazz rating1260 30th of 30, 7 games
- Spurs5-2 Southwest, 3rd · W5
- Spurs rating1721 1st of 30, 7 games
Utah Jazz 1-6
National Basketball Association · Northwest · 1st · streak L5
No stances yet today on $JAZZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Jazz bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Southwest · 3rd · streak W5
No stances yet today on $SPURS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Antonio Spurs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs
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Final: Jazz 97, Spurs 119. Bandwagon's model had the Spurs at 92% and projected Spurs 123, Jazz 105; spread Spurs −18.5, total 228. Last read: Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 90% for the Spurs.