NBAPHI 53 DET 42· 1:05 - 2ndCBBFDU 45 BTLR 64· 13:51 - 2ndCBBLONG 33 JOES 46· 15:58 - 2ndWCBBDETM 37 ILL 44· 6:07 - 3rdWCBBLAS 28 RUTG 39· 6:31 - 3rdCFBBALL 7 MASS 7· 1:49 - 2ndCFBTOL 7 SAC 10· 0:38 - 2ndWCBBNOLA 29 ALA 78· 3:54 - 3rdNBAATL 68 WSH 61· 11:05 - 3rdCBBUMES 25 HPU 38· 12:17 - 2ndNBACHI 32 NY 55· 8:00 - 2ndWCBBUTC 23 WKU 28· 0:00 - 2ndNBACHA 27 BKN 25· 10:05 - 2ndNBAMIL 27 BOS 44· 6:10 - 2ndCFBCMU 7 EMU 0· 11:09 - 2ndNHLCHI 0 FLA 2· End of 1stNHLOTT 0 BUF 0· End of 1stCBBCSUN 40 WICH 47· HalftimeNBACLE 9 OKC 20· 5:48 - 1stNBAUTAH 8 NO 14· 5:50 - 1stNBAIND 15 MEM 16· 4:39 - 1stCBBNKU 24 SDAK 18· 11:10 - 1stCBBSELA 14 AUB 18· 11:01 - 1stWCBBFDU 2 TEX 22· 3:01 - 1stWCBBSTET 6 LOU 10· 3:49 - 1stWCBBMORG 4 COLO 11· 2:55 - 1stWCBBLIU 11 TXST 7· 1:55 - 1stWCBBJKST 8 GCU 9· 2:50 - 1stNBAMIN–HOU8:30 PMNBAPOR–PHX9:00 PMWCBBCBU–ORST9:00 PMNBATOR–DEN9:00 PMCBBRAD–CAL9:00 PMNBADAL–SA9:30 PMCBBNDSU–SMC10:00 PMCBBMILW–SCU10:00 PMNHLCGY–SEA10:00 PMNHLSJ–LA10:00 PMNBALAL–SAC10:00 PMWCBBSMC–STAN10:00 PMAll scores
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San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz: final score and how the prediction did, October 28, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 1.0 · Updated

San Antonio Spurs or Utah Jazz: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 91–9Market –

Final · OTPregame: UTAH 9%Baseline: UTAH 25.4% (+16.9)Big swing: 38.6 ptsClutch window: 15:13
Record 5-2
117+12111+6
Record 1-6
Score by period
Team1234OTT
SA2229342012117
UTAH322330206111
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: OTFetched at
Win probability for UTAH: 198 points, 9% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0012:0024:0036:0048:00UTAH 0%SA 100%
Win probability for UTAH: 198 points, 9% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0024:0048:00UTAH 0%SA 100%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to SA−27.1 points for UTAH over the last 5:00
Big swing38.6 ptstoward UTAH at 49:45 of game time
Clutch window15:13within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineUTAH 25.4%game average, +16.9 points from the pregame 8.5%

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatSAUTAH
Field goalsSA44/101UTAH39/92
3-pointersSA12/38UTAH15/39
Free throwsSA17/21UTAH18/19
ReboundsSA51UTAH53
AssistsSA30UTAH24
TurnoversSA11UTAH19
StealsSA14UTAH3
BlocksSA5UTAH5
Points in the paintSA54UTAH34
Fast-break pointsSA14UTAH7
FoulsSA18UTAH18
Largest leadSA9UTAH11

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatSAUTAH
ScoreSA117UTAH111
Average win probabilitySA75%UTAH25%
Longest scoring runSA+12UTAH+8
Time leadingSA14:14UTAH31:12

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 1.0 · updated Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET
Spurs91%
Win chance
Jazz9%
SpreadSA −12closing model spread
Total230
Moneyline−1072away / +1072homeaway / home
Line movementUTAH win chance, 3 stored lines
−34 pts for UTAH on Oct 28
49%3%
Oct 28, 10:45 PM ET: UTAH 43%Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET: UTAH 9%Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET: UTAH 9%
10:45 PM10:51 PM
Every stored line
StoredUTAH winMove
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET9%0
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET9%−34
Oct 28, 10:45 PM ET43%—
Ratings
UTAH 1281 · SA 1707
Home spread
+12
Stored
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET · 2026-10-29 02:51 UTC
Version
Axle 1.0
Last move
spread −1 → +12, total 229.5 → 230, home 43% → 9%

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: San Antonio Spurs 117, Utah Jazz 111. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

The inputs behind this line were not recorded (it was stored before model 2.0). Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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SpursJazz
Neutrals only–
SpursJazz
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Jazz–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Spurs a 12-point favorite, with a 91% chance to win. The model total is 230. Ratings: Jazz 1260 (30th of 30), Spurs 1721 (1st). The Jazz are 1-6 in the Northwest; the Spurs are 5-2 in the Southwest. The Jazz have won 0 of their last 5; the Spurs 5 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Jazz won 2, the Spurs 4.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

San Antonio Spurs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Utah JazzW 119–97––matchup
vs Minnesota TimberwolvesW 121–111––matchup
at Utah JazzW 117–111––matchup
vs Sacramento KingsW 130–103––matchup
at Dallas MavericksW 122–106––matchup

Utah Jazz

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at San Antonio SpursL 97–119––matchup
vs Portland Trail BlazersL 90–112––matchup
vs San Antonio SpursL 111–117––matchup
vs Memphis GrizzliesL 105–110––matchup
vs Los Angeles LakersL 123–132––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs97–119––matchup
San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz109–119––matchup
San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz126–109––matchup
Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs110–123––matchup
Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs127–114––matchup
Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs130–134––matchup

Injuries

San Antonio Spurs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Utah Jazz: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Spurs5-2 Southwest, 3rd · W5
  • Spurs rating1721 1st of 30, 7 games
  • Jazz1-6 Northwest, 1st · L5
  • Jazz rating1260 30th of 30, 7 games

San Antonio Spurs 5-2

National Basketball Association · Southwest · 3rd · streak W5

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SPURS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SPURS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SPURS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SPURS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Antonio Spurs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Spurs roster, schedule and more

Utah Jazz 1-6

National Basketball Association · Northwest · 1st · streak L5

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JAZZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JAZZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $JAZZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $JAZZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Jazz bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Jazz roster, schedule and more

Takes on San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz

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