Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers: final score and how the prediction did, October 29, 2026
- Final scoreGrizzlies 124, Trail Blazers 103 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerTrail Blazers 77%
- Pregame Projected scoreTrail Blazers 120, Grizzlies 110
- Model spreadTrail Blazers −10 total 229.5
- Margin21 projected 10
- Total227 projected 229.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Memphis Grizzlies or Portland Trail Blazers: the bandwagon
Axle 23–77Market 28–73
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 25 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 124 |
| POR | 25 | 33 | 25 | 20 | 103 |
Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MEM | POR |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MEM47/102 | POR37/91 |
| 3-pointers | MEM18/42 | POR12/49 |
| Free throws | MEM12/12 | POR17/26 |
| Rebounds | MEM54 | POR45 |
| Assists | MEM32 | POR22 |
| Turnovers | MEM11 | POR16 |
| Steals | MEM7 | POR5 |
| Blocks | MEM1 | POR11 |
| Points in the paint | MEM50 | POR48 |
| Fast-break points | MEM23 | POR12 |
| Fouls | MEM23 | POR14 |
| Largest lead | MEM24 | POR8 |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MEM | POR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MEM124 | POR103 |
| Average win probability | MEM44% | POR56% |
| Longest scoring run | MEM+10 | POR+7 |
| Time leading | MEM24:21 | POR16:31 |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | POR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | −4 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 81% | +31 |
| Oct 28, 10:45 PM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- POR 1568 · MEM 1362
- Home spread
- −10
- Stored
- Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET · 2026-10-30 02:27 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- spread −11.5 → −10, total 231 → 229.5, home 81% → 77%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Memphis Grizzlies 124, Portland Trail Blazers 103. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · The injury list is older than three daysplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Trail Blazers at 73% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 73% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 81% when last read, .
| Source | MEM | POR | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 28% | 73% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 28% | 73% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 23% | 77% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Trail Blazers a 10-point favorite at home, with a 77% chance to win. The model total is 229.5. Ratings: Trail Blazers 1562 (12th of 30), Grizzlies 1405 (23rd). The Trail Blazers are 4-1 in the Northwest; the Grizzlies are 6-0 in the Southwest. The Trail Blazers have won 4 of their last 5; the Grizzlies 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Trail Blazers won 4, the Grizzlies 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Memphis Grizzlies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs New Orleans Pelicans | L 134–135 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento Kings | W 136–105 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Trail Blazers | W 124–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Jazz | W 110–105 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacramento Kings | W 123–112 | – | – | matchup |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Denver Nuggets | W 118–110 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Jazz | W 112–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Grizzlies | L 103–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Lakers | W 136–129 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacramento Kings | W 128–120 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies | 122–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers | 115–122 | – | – | matchup | |
| Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers | 115–135 | – | – | matchup | |
| Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies | 96–119 | – | – | matchup | |
| Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers | 99–115 | – | – | matchup | |
| Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies | 98–123 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Memphis Grizzlies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Portland Trail Blazers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Grizzlies6-0 Southwest, 5th · W6
- Grizzlies rating1405 23rd of 30, 7 games
- Trail Blazers4-1 Northwest, 5th · W1
- Trail Blazers rating1562 12th of 30, 6 games
National Basketball Association · Southwest · 5th · streak W6
No stances yet today on $GRIZZLIES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Memphis Grizzlies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Northwest · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TRAILBLAZERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Portland Trail Blazers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Grizzlies 124, Trail Blazers 103. Bandwagon's model had the Trail Blazers at 77% and projected Trail Blazers 120, Grizzlies 110; spread Trail Blazers −10, total 229.5. Last read: Kalshi 73%, Polymarket 73% for the Trail Blazers.