New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scorePelicans 135, Grizzlies 134 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerGrizzlies 60%
- Pregame Projected scoreGrizzlies 117, Pelicans 113
- Model spreadGrizzlies −4.5 total 230.5
- Margin1 projected 4.3
- Total269 projected 230.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New Orleans Pelicans or Memphis Grizzlies: the bandwagon
Axle 40–60Market 35–65
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 34 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 11 | 135 |
| MEM | 31 | 31 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 134 |
New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NO | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NO48/101 | MEM47/91 |
| 3-pointers | NO14/37 | MEM18/40 |
| Free throws | NO25/30 | MEM22/27 |
| Rebounds | NO47 | MEM49 |
| Assists | NO27 | MEM30 |
| Turnovers | NO8 | MEM16 |
| Steals | NO8 | MEM5 |
| Blocks | NO3 | MEM9 |
| Points in the paint | NO62 | MEM54 |
| Fast-break points | NO17 | MEM20 |
| Fouls | NO21 | MEM25 |
| Largest lead | NO10 | MEM7 |
New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NO | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NO135 | MEM134 |
| Average win probability | NO62% | MEM38% |
| Longest scoring run | NO+6 | MEM+11 |
| Time leading | NO19:02 | MEM0:56 |
New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MEM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 60% | +5 |
| Oct 31, 10:36 PM ET | 55% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 9:36 PM ET | 54% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 AM ET | 57% | +4 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 53% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 51% | — |
- Ratings
- MEM 1408 · NO 1418
- Home spread
- −4.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:32 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: New Orleans Pelicans 135, Memphis Grizzlies 134. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Nov 2, 8:59 AM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Pelicans vs Grizzlies odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Grizzlies at 65% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 66% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 60% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | NO | MEM | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 35% | 65% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 34% | 66% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 40% | 60% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Grizzlies a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 60% chance to win. The model total is 230.5. Ratings: Grizzlies 1405 (23rd of 30), Pelicans 1422 (21st). The Grizzlies are 6-1 in the Southwest; the Pelicans are 3-4 in the Southwest. The Grizzlies have won 3 of their last 5; the Pelicans 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Grizzlies won 4, the Pelicans 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New Orleans Pelicans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah Jazz | W 120–113 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Grizzlies | W 135–134 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Atlanta Hawks | W 121–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento Kings | W 132–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Nuggets | L 91–104 | – | – | matchup |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Indiana Pacers | L 103–107 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Orleans Pelicans | L 134–135 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento Kings | W 136–105 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Trail Blazers | W 124–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Jazz | W 110–105 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans | 106–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies | 133–127 | – | – | matchup | |
| Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans | 133–128 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies | 122–128 | – | – | matchup | |
| Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans | 107–104 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies | 126–139 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New Orleans Pelicans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Memphis Grizzlies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Pelicans3-4 Southwest, 1st · W3
- Pelicans rating1422 21st of 30, 7 games
- Grizzlies6-1 Southwest, 4th · L1
- Grizzlies rating1405 23rd of 30, 7 games
National Basketball Association · Southwest · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $PELICANS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Orleans Pelicans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Southwest · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $GRIZZLIES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Memphis Grizzlies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies
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Final: Pelicans 135, Grizzlies 134. Bandwagon's model had the Grizzlies at 60% and projected Grizzlies 117, Pelicans 113; spread Grizzlies −4.5, total 230.5. Last read: Kalshi 65%, Polymarket 66% for the Grizzlies.