Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans: final score and how the prediction did, October 29, 2026
- Final scoreKings 120, Pelicans 132 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerPelicans 67%
- Pregame Projected scorePelicans 120, Kings 113
- Model spreadPelicans −6.5 total 232.5
- Margin12 projected 6.5
- Total252 projected 232.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Sacramento Kings or New Orleans Pelicans: the bandwagon
Axle 33–67Market 31–69
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 30 | 31 | 27 | 32 | 120 |
| NO | 24 | 39 | 39 | 30 | 132 |
Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SAC | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | SAC46/88 | NO50/84 |
| 3-pointers | SAC12/37 | NO10/29 |
| Free throws | SAC16/20 | NO22/32 |
| Rebounds | SAC39 | NO38 |
| Assists | SAC30 | NO32 |
| Turnovers | SAC25 | NO21 |
| Steals | SAC12 | NO18 |
| Blocks | SAC2 | NO6 |
| Points in the paint | SAC62 | NO80 |
| Fast-break points | SAC29 | NO34 |
| Fouls | SAC22 | NO13 |
| Largest lead | SAC8 | NO19 |
Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SAC | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SAC120 | NO132 |
| Average win probability | SAC21% | NO79% |
| Longest scoring run | SAC+7 | NO+9 |
| Time leading | SAC10:48 | NO35:40 |
Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 67% | +14 |
| Oct 28, 10:45 PM ET | 53% | — |
- Ratings
- NO 1391 · SAC 1312
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET · 2026-10-29 22:43 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Sacramento Kings 120, New Orleans Pelicans 132. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: the other inputs are tracked, and a calibration layer using them is not yet tested here (too few held-out games), so they do not move the line.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:38 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Kings vs Pelicans odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Pelicans at 69% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 69% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 67% when last read, .
| Source | SAC | NO | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 31% | 69% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 31% | 69% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 33% | 67% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Pelicans a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 232.5. Ratings: Pelicans 1422 (21st of 30), Kings 1322 (25th). The Pelicans are 3-4 in the Southwest; the Kings are 1-6 in the Pacific. The Pelicans have won 4 of their last 5; the Kings 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Pelicans won 3, the Kings 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Sacramento Kings
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Los Angeles Lakers | L 103–116 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dallas Mavericks | W 115–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Grizzlies | L 105–136 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Orleans Pelicans | L 120–132 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Antonio Spurs | L 103–130 | – | – | matchup |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah Jazz | W 120–113 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Grizzlies | W 135–134 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Atlanta Hawks | W 121–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento Kings | W 132–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Nuggets | L 91–104 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings | 113–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings | 133–123 | – | – | matchup | |
| Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans | 94–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans | 133–140 | – | – | matchup | |
| Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans | 119–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings | 118–123 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Sacramento Kings: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
New Orleans Pelicans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Kings1-6 Pacific, 2nd · W1
- Kings rating1322 25th of 30, 7 games
- Pelicans3-4 Southwest, 1st · W3
- Pelicans rating1422 21st of 30, 7 games
Sacramento Kings 1-6
National Basketball Association · Pacific · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $KINGS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Sacramento Kings bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Southwest · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $PELICANS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Orleans Pelicans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Kings 120, Pelicans 132. Bandwagon's model had the Pelicans at 67% and projected Pelicans 120, Kings 113; spread Pelicans −6.5, total 232.5. Last read: Kalshi 69%, Polymarket 69% for the Pelicans.