NHLCGY 1 SEA 1· 2:55 - 3rdNHLSJ 2 LA 6· 9:17 - 3rdNBALAL 106 SAC 94· 2:52 - 4thNBAMIA 86 LAC 89· 8:33 - 4thWCBBUNF–FSU11:00 AMWCBBM-OH–SEMO12:00 PMWCBBHAMP–SMU12:00 PMWCBBSTBK–IONA1:00 PMWCBBUNT–SDSU2:00 PMWCBBHAW–SF3:00 PMWCBBUIC–RMU4:00 PMWCBBUCF–FLA4:30 PMCBBMCN–UNT5:00 PMWCBBUWF–WCU6:00 PMWCBBDART–HC6:00 PMWCBBMSM–UMBC6:00 PMWCBBMRST–BRY6:00 PMWCBBPRES–WAKE6:00 PMWCBBSIE–ME6:00 PMCBBWAKE–VAN6:00 PMCBBUTC–PSU6:00 PMCBBBELL–IU6:00 PMCBBCHST–UIW6:00 PMWCBBCLT–TTU6:00 PMWCBBCCSU–JMU6:00 PMWCBBMRMK–NJIT6:00 PMWCBBCAN–UNH6:00 PMWCBBLIP–BTLR6:30 PMWCBBCMU–OSU6:30 PMWCBBNKU–UK6:30 PMWCBBCONN–MICH6:30 PMWCBBSIUE–IUIN6:30 PMWCBBMAN–UALB6:30 PMCBBLIU–HALL6:30 PMWCBBJAX–MIA7:00 PMWCBBSAM–GT7:00 PMWCBBTENN–COPP7:00 PMWCBBARMY–BRWN7:00 PMNHLVGK–DET7:00 PMWCBBUSM–AUB7:00 PMAll scores
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Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Sacramento Kings or Dallas Mavericks: the bandwagon

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Kings▲ Hop on▼ Jump off
Mavericks▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 23–77Market 26–74

FinalPregame: DAL 77%Baseline: DAL 46.6% (−30.5)Big swing: 24.4 ptsClutch window: none
Sacramento Kings
Record 1-6
115+34100+26
Dallas Mavericks
Record 4-3
Score by period
Team1234T
SAC19352734115
DAL18352126100
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: Q4Fetched at
Win probability for DAL: 35 points, 77% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0012:0024:0036:0048:00DAL 0%SAC 100%Market 74%
Win probability for DAL: 35 points, 77% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0024:0048:00DAL 0%SAC 100%Market 74%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable−2.9 points for DAL over the last 5:00
Big swing24.4 ptstoward SAC at 31:56 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineDAL 46.6%game average, −30.5 points from the pregame 77.1%

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatSACDAL
Field goalsSAC43/82DAL32/78
3-pointersSAC19/43DAL7/33
Free throwsSAC10/15DAL29/35
ReboundsSAC42DAL35
AssistsSAC25DAL19
TurnoversSAC20DAL16
StealsSAC9DAL11
BlocksSAC4DAL1
Points in the paintSAC38DAL40
Fast-break pointsSAC11DAL7
FoulsSAC24DAL15
Largest leadSAC19DAL6

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatSACDAL
ScoreSAC115DAL100
Average win probabilitySAC53%DAL47%
Longest scoring runSAC+8DAL+5
Time leadingSAC16:08DAL0:00

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks model odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET
Kings23%
Win chance
Mavericks77%
SpreadDAL −10closing model spread
Total230
Moneyline+338away / −338homeaway / home
Line movementDAL win chance, 28 stored lines
+10 pts for DAL between Oct 28 and Nov 2
83%62%
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET: DAL 67%Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET: DAL 67%Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET: DAL 72%Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET: DAL 72%Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET: DAL 72%Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET: DAL 72%Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: DAL 72%Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET: DAL 72%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: DAL 70%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: DAL 70%Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET: DAL 70%Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET: DAL 70%Oct 30, 10:51 PM ET: DAL 71%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: DAL 71%Oct 31, 10:36 PM ET: DAL 72%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: DAL 77%Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: DAL 77%Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: DAL 77%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: DAL 77%
Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredDAL winMove
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET77%0
Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET77%0
Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET77%0
Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET77%0
Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET77%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET77%+5
Oct 31, 10:36 PM ET72%+1
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET71%0
Oct 30, 10:51 PM ET71%+1
Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET70%0
Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET70%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET70%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET70%−2
Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET72%0
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET72%0
Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET72%0
Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET72%0
Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET72%0
Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET72%+5
Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET67%0
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET67%—
Ratings
DAL 1440 · SAC 1293
Home spread
−10
Stored
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:12 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0
Last move
total 230.5 → 230

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Sacramento Kings 115, Dallas Mavericks 100. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Nov 2, 8:59 AM UTC
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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KingsMavericks
Neutrals only–
KingsMavericks
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Mavericks–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Kings vs Mavericks odds on Kalshi and Polymarket

Every NBA market

Kalshi had the Mavericks at 74% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 75% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 77% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.

SourceSACDALPrice read
Kalshi26%74% · closing price
Polymarket25%75% · closing price
Bandwagon model23%77% · model 2.0
Kalshi minus model, DAL: −3Polymarket minus model, DAL: −3

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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Mavericks a 10-point favorite at home, with a 77% chance to win. The model total is 230. Ratings: Mavericks 1411 (22nd of 30), Kings 1322 (25th). The Mavericks are 4-3 in the Southwest; the Kings are 1-6 in the Pacific. The Mavericks have won 3 of their last 5; the Kings 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Mavericks won 2, the Kings 4.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Sacramento Kings

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Dallas MavericksW 115–100––matchup
at Memphis GrizzliesL 105–136––matchup
at New Orleans PelicansL 120–132––matchup
at San Antonio SpursL 103–130––matchup
vs Memphis GrizzliesL 112–123––matchup

Dallas Mavericks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at San Antonio SpursL 111–112––matchup
vs Sacramento KingsL 100–115––matchup
vs Houston RocketsW 116–111––matchup
vs Oklahoma City ThunderW 120–96––matchup
at Miami HeatW 113–109––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks130–121––matchup
Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings100–98––matchup
Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings107–113––matchup
Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings120–106––matchup
Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks122–98––matchup
Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks129–128––matchup

Injuries

Sacramento Kings: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Dallas Mavericks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Kings1-6 Pacific, 2nd · W1
  • Kings rating1322 25th of 30, 7 games
  • Mavericks4-3 Southwest, 2nd · L1
  • Mavericks rating1411 22nd of 30, 7 games

Sacramento Kings 1-6

National Basketball Association · Pacific · 2nd · streak W1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KINGS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KINGS
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KINGS
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No stances yet today on $KINGS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Sacramento Kings bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

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Kings roster, schedule and more

Dallas Mavericks 4-3

National Basketball Association · Southwest · 2nd · streak L1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MAVERICKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MAVERICKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MAVERICKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MAVERICKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dallas Mavericks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Mavericks roster, schedule and more

Takes on Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks

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Final: Kings 115, Mavericks 100. Bandwagon's model had the Mavericks at 77% and projected Mavericks 120, Kings 110; spread Mavericks −10, total 230. Last read: Kalshi 74%, Polymarket 75% for the Mavericks.