Lakers open with the edge in the numbers, 58 percent to win for home at kickoff. Score is still 0-0 and there is no crowd read yet, so this is a model number and nothing more.
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Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreRaptors 125, Lakers 131 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerLakers 58%
- Pregame Projected scoreLakers 116, Raptors 112
- Model spreadLakers −4 total 228
- Margin6 projected 4
- Total256 projected 228
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Toronto Raptors or Los Angeles Lakers: the bandwagon
Bandwagon1 on the bandwagon so far
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 42–58Market 40–60
FinalPregame: LAL 58%Baseline: LAL 89.2% (+30.9)Big swing: 17.1 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 23 | 31 | 28 | 43 | 125 |
| LAL | 36 | 30 | 38 | 27 | 131 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.1 points for LAL over the last 5:00
Big swing17.1 ptstoward TOR at 1:27 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineLAL 89.2%game average, +30.9 points from the pregame 58.4%
Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TOR | LAL |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | TOR45/105 | LAL43/80 |
| 3-pointers | TOR17/54 | LAL18/37 |
| Free throws | TOR18/25 | LAL27/32 |
| Rebounds | TOR47 | LAL45 |
| Assists | TOR35 | LAL26 |
| Turnovers | TOR15 | LAL24 |
| Steals | TOR14 | LAL11 |
| Blocks | TOR1 | LAL7 |
| Points in the paint | TOR46 | LAL48 |
| Fast-break points | TOR23 | LAL20 |
| Fouls | TOR26 | LAL21 |
| Largest lead | TOR5 | LAL26 |
Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TOR | LAL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TOR125 | LAL131 |
| Average win probability | TOR11% | LAL89% |
| Longest scoring run | TOR+8 | LAL+9 |
| Time leading | TOR1:52 | LAL43:36 |
Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET
Raptors42%
Win chanceLakers58%
SpreadLAL −4closing model spread
Total228
Moneyline+140away / −140homeaway / home
Line movementLAL win chance, 19 stored lines
No move
69%53%
Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | LAL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 58% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:56 AM ET | 61% | −2 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:11 PM ET | 63% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 62% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 61% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 58% | — |
- Ratings
- LAL 1584 · TOR 1543
- Home spread
- −4
- Stored
- Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET · 2026-11-02 00:51 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Toronto Raptors 125, Los Angeles Lakers 131. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:38 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
RaptorsLakers
Neutrals only–
RaptorsLakers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Lakers–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Raptors vs Lakers odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Lakers at 60% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 60% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 58% when last read, .
| Source | TOR | LAL | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 40% | 60% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 40% | 60% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 42% | 58% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, LAL: +1Polymarket minus model, LAL: +1
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lakers a 4-point favorite at home, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 228. Ratings: Lakers 1599 (8th of 30), Raptors 1550 (13th). The Lakers are 6-2 in the Pacific; the Raptors are 4-3 in the Atlantic. The Lakers have won 3 of their last 5; the Raptors 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Lakers won 6, the Raptors 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Toronto Raptors
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at LA Clippers | W 125–118 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Lakers | L 125–131 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Orlando Magic | L 114–121 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Orlando Magic | W 129–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Timberwolves | L 94–117 | – | – | matchup |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Miami Heat | W 138–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Raptors | W 131–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Golden State Warriors | L 95–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LA Clippers | W 103–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Trail Blazers | L 129–136 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers | 93–110 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto Raptors | 123–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers | 103–123 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto Raptors | 131–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto Raptors | 128–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers | 131–132 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Toronto Raptors: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Los Angeles Lakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Raptors4-3 Atlantic, 3rd · W1
- Raptors rating1550 13th of 30, 7 games
- Lakers6-2 Pacific, 5th · W2
- Lakers rating1599 8th of 30, 8 games
Toronto Raptors 4-3
National Basketball Association · Atlantic · 3rd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RAPTORS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RAPTORS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RAPTORS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $RAPTORS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Toronto Raptors bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Pacific · 5th · streak W2
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $LAKERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $LAKERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LAKERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
1 stance today on $LAKERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Los Angeles Lakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers
Sign in to post a take on $RAPTORSLAKERS261102: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Raptors 125, Lakers 131. Bandwagon's model had the Lakers at 58% and projected Lakers 116, Raptors 112; spread Lakers −4, total 228. Last read: Kalshi 60%, Polymarket 60% for the Lakers.