Mercyhurst Lakers vs Marquette Golden Eagles: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreMercyhurst 43, Marquette 78 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMarquette 74%
- Pregame Projected scoreMarquette 77, Mercyhurst 69
- Model spreadMarquette −8 total 145.5
- Margin35 projected 7.9
- Total121 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Mercyhurst Lakers or Marquette Golden Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 26–74Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 14 | 29 | 43 |
| MARQ | 36 | 42 | 78 |
Mercyhurst Lakers at Marquette Golden Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Mercyhurst Lakers vs Marquette Golden Eagles live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MERC | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MERC17/58 | MARQ29/60 |
| 3-pointers | MERC4/27 | MARQ4/21 |
| Free throws | MERC5/7 | MARQ16/26 |
| Rebounds | MERC26 | MARQ49 |
| Assists | MERC8 | MARQ23 |
| Turnovers | MERC17 | MARQ11 |
| Steals | MERC9 | MARQ9 |
| Blocks | MERC4 | MARQ9 |
| Points in the paint | MERC16 | MARQ50 |
| Fast-break points | MERC6 | MARQ9 |
| Fouls | MERC16 | MARQ10 |
| Largest lead | MERC0 | MARQ44 |
Mercyhurst Lakers vs Marquette Golden Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MERC | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MERC43 | MARQ78 |
| Average win probability | MERC3% | MARQ97% |
| Longest scoring run | MERC+5 | MARQ+16 |
| Time leading | MERC0:00 | MARQ39:31 |
Mercyhurst Lakers vs Marquette Golden Eagles odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MARQ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 74% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 73% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 76% | +11 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- MARQ 1530 · MERC 1466
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Mercyhurst Lakers 43, Marquette Golden Eagles 78. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Mercyhurst Lakers vs Marquette Golden Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Eagles a 8-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Golden Eagles 1546 (95th of 361), Lakers 1450 (252nd). The Golden Eagles are 1-0; the Lakers are 0-1. The Golden Eagles have won 3 of their last 5; the Lakers 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Marquette Golden Eagles | L 43–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Island University Sharks | L 70–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stonehill Skyhawks | W 56–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 70–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Stonehill Skyhawks | W 75–72 | – | – | matchup |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Mercyhurst Lakers | W 78–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Xavier Musketeers | L 87–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UConn Huskies | W 68–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Providence Friars | W 78–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs DePaul Blue Demons | L 51–62 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Mercyhurst Lakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Marquette Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lakers0-1 7th · L1
- Lakers rating1450 252nd of 361, 1 games
- Golden Eagles1-0 5th · W1
- Golden Eagles rating1546 95th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MERCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mercyhurst Lakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MARQMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marquette Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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