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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Stan Sheriff Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Seattle U Redhawks vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Seattle U Redhawks or Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: the bandwagon

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Rainbow Warriors▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 34–66Market –

FinalPregame: HAW 66%Baseline: HAW 82.7% (+16.4)Big swing: 43.3 ptsClutch window: 10:13
Record 0-1
73+3474+27
Score by period
Team12T
SEA393473
HAW472774
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Seattle U Redhawks at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for HAW: 91 points, 66% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00HAW 100%SEA 0%
Win probability for HAW: 91 points, 66% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00HAW 100%SEA 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to HAW+23.4 points for HAW over the last 5:00
Big swing43.3 ptstoward HAW at 39:21 of game time
Clutch window10:13within 5 points in the final half
BaselineHAW 82.7%game average, +16.4 points from the pregame 66.3%

Seattle U Redhawks vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatSEAHAW
Field goalsSEA27/54HAW25/51
3-pointersSEA7/16HAW8/22
Free throwsSEA12/17HAW16/22
ReboundsSEA30HAW25
AssistsSEA11HAW12
TurnoversSEA20HAW16
StealsSEA9HAW9
BlocksSEA3HAW3
Points in the paintSEA34HAW32
Fast-break pointsSEA22HAW9
FoulsSEA20HAW17
Largest leadSEA3HAW16

Seattle U Redhawks vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatSEAHAW
ScoreSEA73HAW74
Average win probabilitySEA17%HAW83%
Longest scoring runSEA+8HAW+7
Time leadingSEA2:55HAW35:36

Seattle U Redhawks vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET
Redhawks34%
Win chance
Rainbow Warriors66%
SpreadHAW −5.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+197away / −197homeaway / home
Line movementHAW win chance, 23 stored lines
+1 pts for HAW between Oct 29 and Nov 3
72%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: HAW 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: HAW 67%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: HAW 67%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: HAW 67%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: HAW 66%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: HAW 66%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: HAW 66%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: HAW 66%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: HAW 66%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
StoredHAW winMove
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET66%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET66%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET66%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET66%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET66%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET66%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET66%−1
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET67%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET67%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET67%+2
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
HAW 1540 · SEA 1533
Home spread
−5.5
Stored
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET · 2026-11-03 05:39 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Seattle U Redhawks 73, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 74. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

RedhawksRainbow Warriors
Neutrals only–
RedhawksRainbow Warriors
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Rainbow Warriors–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Seattle U Redhawks vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Rainbow Warriors a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 66% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Rainbow Warriors 1542 (101st of 361), Redhawks 1531 (127th). The Rainbow Warriors are 1-0; the Redhawks are 0-1. The Rainbow Warriors have won 3 of their last 5; the Redhawks 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Seattle U Redhawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 73–74––matchup
at Auburn TigersL 85–91––matchup
vs St. Thomas TommiesW 67–52––matchup
at Pacific TigersL 58–61––matchup
vs San Diego TorerosW 58–56––matchup

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Seattle U RedhawksW 74–73––matchup
at Arkansas RazorbacksL 78–97––matchup
at UC Irvine AnteatersW 71–64––matchup
vs Cal State Fullerton TitansW 78–63––matchup
vs Long Beach State BeachL 75–84––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Seattle U Redhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Redhawks0-1 10th · L1
  • Redhawks rating1531 127th of 361, 1 games
  • Rainbow Warriors1-0 2nd · W1
  • Rainbow Warriors rating1542 101st of 361, 1 games

Seattle U Redhawks 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak L1

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No stances yet today on $SEAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle U Redhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Redhawks roster, schedule and more

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HAWMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HAWMBB
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No stances yet today on $HAWMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Rainbow Warriors roster, schedule and more

Takes on Seattle U Redhawks at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

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