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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Welsh–Ryan Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Binghamton Bearcats vs Northwestern Wildcats: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Binghamton Bearcats or Northwestern Wildcats: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 17–83Market –

FinalPregame: NU 83%Baseline: NU 97.0% (+14.1)Big swing: 4.1 ptsClutch window: none
Record 0-1
60+2586+35
Score by period
Team12T
BING352560
NU513586
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Binghamton Bearcats at Northwestern Wildcats win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for NU: 145 points, 83% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00NU 100%BING 0%
Win probability for NU: 145 points, 83% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00NU 100%BING 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for NU over the last 5:00
Big swing4.1 ptstoward NU at 2:10 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineNU 97.0%game average, +14.1 points from the pregame 82.9%

Binghamton Bearcats vs Northwestern Wildcats live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatBINGNU
Field goalsBING21/52NU29/52
3-pointersBING5/18NU12/30
Free throwsBING13/15NU16/25
ReboundsBING23NU34
AssistsBING12NU23
TurnoversBING12NU8
StealsBING3NU5
BlocksBING1NU3
Points in the paintBING22NU32
Fast-break pointsBING2NU14
FoulsBING18NU17
Largest leadBING0NU28

Binghamton Bearcats vs Northwestern Wildcats team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatBINGNU
ScoreBING60NU86
Average win probabilityBING3%NU97%
Longest scoring runBING+5NU+11
Time leadingBING0:00NU38:50

Binghamton Bearcats vs Northwestern Wildcats odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET
Bearcats17%
Win chance
Wildcats83%
SpreadNU −11.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+489away / −489homeaway / home
Line movementNU win chance, 20 stored lines
+18 pts for NU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
92%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: NU 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: NU 87%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: NU 87%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: NU 87%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: NU 83%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: NU 83%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: NU 83%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredNU winMove
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET83%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET83%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET83%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET87%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET87%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET87%+22
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
NU 1525 · BING 1366
Home spread
−11.5
Stored
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:57 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Binghamton Bearcats 60, Northwestern Wildcats 86. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BearcatsWildcats
Neutrals only–
BearcatsWildcats
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Wildcats–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Binghamton Bearcats vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 11.5-point favorite at home, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Wildcats 1534 (120th of 361), Bearcats 1357 (347th). The Wildcats are 1-0; the Bearcats are 0-1. The Wildcats have won 3 of their last 5; the Bearcats 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 1, the Bearcats 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Binghamton Bearcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Northwestern WildcatsL 60–86––matchup
vs Maine Black BearsW 74–67––matchup
vs New Hampshire WildcatsW 65–63––matchup
at UMass Lowell River HawksL 79–92––matchup
at Bryant BulldogsW 79–67––matchup

Northwestern Wildcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Binghamton BearcatsW 86–60––matchup
at Purdue BoilermakersL 68–81––matchup
at Indiana HoosiersW 74–61––matchup
vs Penn State Nittany LionsW 76–66––matchup
at Minnesota Golden GophersL 66–67––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Binghamton Bearcats at Northwestern Wildcats61–72––matchup

Injuries

Binghamton Bearcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Northwestern Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bearcats0-1 5th · L1
  • Bearcats rating1357 347th of 361, 1 games
  • Wildcats1-0 9th · W1
  • Wildcats rating1534 120th of 361, 1 games

Binghamton Bearcats 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BINGMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BINGMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Binghamton Bearcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bearcats roster, schedule and more

Northwestern Wildcats 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northwestern Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wildcats roster, schedule and more

Takes on Binghamton Bearcats at Northwestern Wildcats

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Final: Binghamton 60, Northwestern 86. Bandwagon's model had the Northwestern at 83% and projected Northwestern 79, Binghamton 67; spread Northwestern −11.5, total 145.5.