Central Michigan Chippewas vs UL Monroe Warhawks: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreCentral Michigan 83, UL Monroe 78
- Pregame Projected winnereven
- Pregame Projected scoreUL Monroe 73, Central Michigan 72
- Model spreadUL Monroe −1.5 total 145.5
- Margin5 projected 1.3
- Total161 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Central Michigan Chippewas or UL Monroe Warhawks: the bandwagon
Axle 50–50Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 32 | 51 | 83 |
| ULM | 43 | 35 | 78 |
Central Michigan Chippewas at UL Monroe Warhawks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Central Michigan Chippewas vs UL Monroe Warhawks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CMU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | CMU29/62 | ULM26/65 |
| 3-pointers | CMU12/29 | ULM8/23 |
| Free throws | CMU13/18 | ULM18/29 |
| Rebounds | CMU40 | ULM38 |
| Assists | CMU17 | ULM12 |
| Turnovers | CMU16 | ULM12 |
| Steals | CMU8 | ULM14 |
| Blocks | CMU8 | ULM5 |
| Points in the paint | CMU30 | ULM28 |
| Fast-break points | CMU5 | ULM10 |
| Fouls | CMU18 | ULM15 |
| Largest lead | CMU5 | ULM14 |
Central Michigan Chippewas vs UL Monroe Warhawks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CMU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CMU83 | ULM78 |
| Average win probability | CMU43% | ULM57% |
| Longest scoring run | CMU+9 | ULM+8 |
| Time leading | CMU2:15 | ULM5:17 |
Central Michigan Chippewas vs UL Monroe Warhawks odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ULM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 50% | +5 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 45% | −20 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- ULM 1327 · CMU 1434
- Home spread
- −1.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:41 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Central Michigan Chippewas 83, UL Monroe Warhawks 78. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Central Michigan Chippewas vs UL Monroe Warhawks prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 50% for the Warhawks. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Warhawks 1315 (358th of 361), Chippewas 1446 (262nd). The Warhawks are 0-1; the Chippewas are 1-0. The Warhawks have won 0 of their last 5; the Chippewas 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Warhawks won 1, the Chippewas 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UL Monroe Warhawks | W 83–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ball State Cardinals | L 69–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Akron Zips | L 64–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Buffalo Bulls | W 75–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | L 81–83 | – | – | matchup |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Central Michigan Chippewas | L 78–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | L 80–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Troy Trojans | L 65–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Alabama Jaguars | L 54–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 94–102 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe Warhawks at Central Michigan Chippewas | 74–64 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Central Michigan Chippewas: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UL Monroe Warhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Chippewas1-0 3rd · W1
- Chippewas rating1446 262nd of 361, 1 games
- Warhawks0-1 14th · L1
- Warhawks rating1315 358th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $CMUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Central Michigan Chippewas bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 14th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ULMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UL Monroe Warhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Central Michigan 83, UL Monroe 78. Bandwagon's model had it even and projected UL Monroe 73, Central Michigan 72; spread UL Monroe −1.5, total 145.5.