WCBBCAM 18 NCSU 27· 5:35 - 2ndWCBBDEL 12 VT 30· 7:46 - 2ndWCBBNOLA–ALA7:00 PMCFBBALL–MASS7:00 PMCBBUMES–HPU7:00 PMCBBLONG–JOES7:00 PMCBBFDU–BTLR7:00 PMNBAPHI–DET7:00 PMNBAATL–WSH7:00 PMWCBBLAS–RUTG7:00 PMCFBTOL–SAC7:00 PMWCBBDETM–ILL7:00 PMWCBBUTC–WKU7:30 PMNBAMIL–BOS7:30 PMCBBCSUN–WICH7:30 PMNBACHI–NY7:30 PMNBACHA–BKN7:30 PMNHLOTT–BUF7:30 PMNHLCHI–FLA7:30 PMCFBCMU–EMU7:30 PMWCBBJKST–GCU8:00 PMWCBBLIU–TXST8:00 PMNBAIND–MEM8:00 PMNBAUTAH–NO8:00 PMNBACLE–OKC8:00 PMWCBBMORG–COLO8:00 PMWCBBSTET–LOU8:00 PMWCBBFDU–TEX8:00 PMCBBNKU–SDAK8:00 PMCBBSELA–AUB8:00 PMNBAMIN–HOU8:30 PMNBATOR–DEN9:00 PMWCBBCBU–ORST9:00 PMNBAPOR–PHX9:00 PMCBBRAD–CAL9:00 PMNBADAL–SA9:30 PMCBBNDSU–SMC10:00 PMNHLCGY–SEA10:00 PMNHLSJ–LA10:00 PMNBALAL–SAC10:00 PMAll scores
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Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Jon M. Huntsman Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Long Beach State Beach vs Utah Utes: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Long Beach State Beach or Utah Utes: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 31–69Market –

FinalPregame: UTAH 69%Baseline: UTAH 42.7% (−25.9)Big swing: 55.3 ptsClutch window: 11:14
63+2366+38
Record 1-0
Score by period
Team12T
LBSU402363
UTAH283866
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Long Beach State Beach at Utah Utes win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for UTAH: 35 points, 69% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00UTAH 100%LBSU 0%
Win probability for UTAH: 35 points, 69% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00UTAH 100%LBSU 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to UTAH+23.4 points for UTAH over the last 5:00
Big swing55.3 ptstoward LBSU at 20:00 of game time
Clutch window11:14within 5 points in the final half
BaselineUTAH 42.7%game average, −25.9 points from the pregame 68.6%

Long Beach State Beach vs Utah Utes live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatLBSUUTAH
Field goalsLBSU21/53UTAH26/51
3-pointersLBSU10/25UTAH5/17
Free throwsLBSU11/18UTAH9/19
ReboundsLBSU27UTAH40
AssistsLBSU11UTAH18
TurnoversLBSU10UTAH15
StealsLBSU11UTAH7
BlocksLBSU3UTAH4
Points in the paintLBSU18UTAH40
Fast-break pointsLBSU12UTAH22
FoulsLBSU16UTAH18
Largest leadLBSU17UTAH5

Long Beach State Beach vs Utah Utes team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatLBSUUTAH
ScoreLBSU63UTAH66
Average win probabilityLBSU57%UTAH43%
Longest scoring runLBSU+3UTAH+12
Time leadingLBSU11:41UTAH6:06

Long Beach State Beach vs Utah Utes odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET
Beach31%
Win chance
Utes69%
SpreadUTAH −6.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+219away / −219homeaway / home
Line movementUTAH win chance, 20 stored lines
+4 pts for UTAH between Oct 29 and Nov 2
75%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: UTAH 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: UTAH 70%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: UTAH 70%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: UTAH 70%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: UTAH 69%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: UTAH 69%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredUTAH winMove
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET69%−1
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET70%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET70%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET70%+5
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
UTAH 1437 · LBSU 1413
Home spread
−6.5
Stored
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:51 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Long Beach State Beach 63, Utah Utes 66. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BeachUtes
Neutrals only–
BeachUtes
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Utes–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Long Beach State Beach vs Utah Utes prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Utes a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Utes 1442 (265th of 361), Beach 1409 (309th). The Utes are 1-0; the Beach are 0-1. The Utes have won 1 of their last 5; the Beach 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Long Beach State Beach

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Utah UtesL 63–66––matchup
at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsW 84–75––matchup
vs UC Davis AggiesL 70–76––matchup
at Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersW 88–87––matchup
at Cal Poly MustangsL 92–102––matchup

Utah Utes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Long Beach State BeachW 66–63––matchup
at Cincinnati BearcatsL 66–73––matchup
at Baylor BearsL 75–101––matchup
vs Colorado BuffaloesL 78–92––matchup
at Arizona State Sun DevilsL 60–73––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Long Beach State Beach: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Utah Utes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Beach0-1 11th · L1
  • Beach rating1409 309th of 361, 1 games
  • Utes1-0 12th · W1
  • Utes rating1442 265th of 361, 1 games

Long Beach State Beach 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LBSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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No stances yet today on $LBSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Long Beach State Beach bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Beach roster, schedule and more

Utah Utes 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UTAHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UTAHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UTAHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UTAHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Utes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Utes roster, schedule and more

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