South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs East Carolina Pirates: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreSouth Carolina Upstate 70, East Carolina 83 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerEast Carolina 70%
- Pregame Projected scoreEast Carolina 76, South Carolina Upstate 69
- Model spreadEast Carolina −6.5 total 145.5
- Margin13 projected 6.7
- Total153 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
South Carolina Upstate Spartans or East Carolina Pirates: the bandwagon
Axle 30–70Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 32 | 38 | 70 |
| ECU | 44 | 39 | 83 |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans at East Carolina Pirates win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs East Carolina Pirates live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UPST | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | UPST29/59 | ECU27/57 |
| 3-pointers | UPST7/20 | ECU12/25 |
| Free throws | UPST5/8 | ECU17/25 |
| Rebounds | UPST31 | ECU31 |
| Assists | UPST19 | ECU15 |
| Turnovers | UPST20 | ECU11 |
| Steals | UPST6 | ECU9 |
| Blocks | UPST1 | ECU2 |
| Points in the paint | UPST40 | ECU20 |
| Fast-break points | UPST10 | ECU14 |
| Fouls | UPST18 | ECU12 |
| Largest lead | UPST4 | ECU21 |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs East Carolina Pirates team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UPST | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UPST70 | ECU83 |
| Average win probability | UPST10% | ECU90% |
| Longest scoring run | UPST+8 | ECU+9 |
| Time leading | UPST2:30 | ECU35:03 |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs East Carolina Pirates odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ECU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 70% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 71% | +6 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- ECU 1436 · UPST 1403
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:56 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: South Carolina Upstate Spartans 70, East Carolina Pirates 83. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs East Carolina Pirates prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Pirates a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Pirates 1447 (256th of 361), Spartans 1392 (328th). The Pirates are 0-0; the Spartans are 0-0. The Pirates have won 3 of their last 5; the Spartans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Pirates won 0, the Spartans 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at East Carolina Pirates | L 70–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | L 64–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | W 71–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Radford Highlanders | L 59–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Presbyterian Blue Hose | W 76–74 | – | – | matchup |
East Carolina Pirates
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans | W 83–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UAB Blazers | L 83–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 66–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Tigers | W 84–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTSA Roadrunners | W 82–81 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina Upstate Spartans at East Carolina Pirates | 83–81 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Carolina Upstate Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
East Carolina Pirates: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Spartans0-0 8th · -
- Spartans rating1392 328th of 361, 1 games
- Pirates0-0 2nd · -
- Pirates rating1447 256th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $UPSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Upstate Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak -
No stances yet today on $ECUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Carolina Pirates bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Carolina Upstate Spartans at East Carolina Pirates
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Final: South Carolina Upstate 70, East Carolina 83. Bandwagon's model had the East Carolina at 70% and projected East Carolina 76, South Carolina Upstate 69; spread East Carolina −6.5, total 145.5.