Abilene Christian Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreAbilene Christian 59, Colorado 94 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerColorado 75%
- Pregame Projected scoreColorado 77, Abilene Christian 68
- Model spreadColorado −8.5 total 145.5
- Margin35 projected 8.6
- Total153 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Abilene Christian Wildcats or Colorado Buffaloes: the bandwagon
Axle 25–75Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ACU | 34 | 25 | 59 |
| COLO | 36 | 58 | 94 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ACU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | ACU22/57 | COLO35/58 |
| 3-pointers | ACU4/20 | COLO10/19 |
| Free throws | ACU11/17 | COLO14/20 |
| Rebounds | ACU24 | COLO39 |
| Assists | ACU9 | COLO18 |
| Turnovers | ACU13 | COLO11 |
| Steals | ACU5 | COLO7 |
| Blocks | ACU1 | COLO4 |
| Points in the paint | ACU30 | COLO42 |
| Fast-break points | ACU2 | COLO20 |
| Fouls | ACU14 | COLO13 |
| Largest lead | ACU1 | COLO38 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ACU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ACU59 | COLO94 |
| Average win probability | ACU14% | COLO86% |
| Longest scoring run | ACU+4 | COLO+10 |
| Time leading | ACU0:00 | COLO20:00 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes odds
Every stored line
| Stored | COLO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 75% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 78% | +13 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- COLO 1523 · ACU 1442
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:56 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Abilene Christian Wildcats 59, Colorado Buffaloes 94. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Buffaloes a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Buffaloes 1538 (111th of 361), Wildcats 1427 (282nd). The Buffaloes are 1-0; the Wildcats are 0-1. The Buffaloes have won 2 of their last 5; the Wildcats 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Colorado Buffaloes | L 59–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Tech Trailblazers | L 74–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tarleton State Texans | W 84–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UT Arlington Mavericks | L 57–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Baptist Lancers | L 48–87 | – | – | matchup |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Abilene Christian Wildcats | W 94–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | L 86–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma State Cowboys | L 83–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Wildcats | L 79–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Utes | W 92–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Abilene Christian Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Colorado Buffaloes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wildcats0-1 7th · L1
- Wildcats rating1427 282nd of 361, 1 games
- Buffaloes1-0 5th · W1
- Buffaloes rating1538 111th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ACUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Abilene Christian Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $COLOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colorado Buffaloes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Abilene Christian 59, Colorado 94. Bandwagon's model had the Colorado at 75% and projected Colorado 77, Abilene Christian 68; spread Colorado −8.5, total 145.5.