North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Minnesota Golden Gophers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreNorth Dakota 50, Minnesota 85 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMinnesota 72%
- Pregame Projected scoreMinnesota 77, North Dakota 69
- Model spreadMinnesota −7.5 total 145.5
- Margin35 projected 7.5
- Total135 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
North Dakota Fighting Hawks or Minnesota Golden Gophers: the bandwagon
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Axle 28–72Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| UND | 25 | 25 | 50 |
| MINN | 41 | 44 | 85 |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Minnesota Golden Gophers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Minnesota Golden Gophers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UND | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | UND17/59 | MINN34/62 |
| 3-pointers | UND3/28 | MINN10/25 |
| Free throws | UND13/19 | MINN7/13 |
| Rebounds | UND36 | MINN43 |
| Assists | UND8 | MINN29 |
| Turnovers | UND13 | MINN9 |
| Steals | UND5 | MINN5 |
| Blocks | UND2 | MINN7 |
| Points in the paint | UND22 | MINN46 |
| Fast-break points | UND7 | MINN11 |
| Fouls | UND18 | MINN20 |
| Largest lead | UND2 | MINN38 |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Minnesota Golden Gophers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UND | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UND50 | MINN85 |
| Average win probability | UND8% | MINN92% |
| Longest scoring run | UND+3 | MINN+10 |
| Time leading | UND0:00 | MINN16:44 |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Minnesota Golden Gophers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MINN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 72% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 74% | +9 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- MINN 1500 · UND 1447
- Home spread
- −7.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:38 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: North Dakota Fighting Hawks 50, Minnesota Golden Gophers 85. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Gophers a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Golden Gophers 1516 (148th of 361), Fighting Hawks 1430 (278th). The Golden Gophers are 1-0; the Fighting Hawks are 0-1. The Golden Gophers have won 2 of their last 5; the Fighting Hawks 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Minnesota Golden Gophers | L 50–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 62–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Thomas Tommies | W 67–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Pioneers | W 83–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 63–96 | – | – | matchup |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks | W 85–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Baylor Bears | L 48–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights | L 67–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northwestern Wildcats | W 67–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indiana Hoosiers | L 47–77 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
North Dakota Fighting Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Minnesota Golden Gophers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Fighting Hawks0-1 7th · L1
- Fighting Hawks rating1430 278th of 361, 1 games
- Golden Gophers1-0 7th · W1
- Golden Gophers rating1516 148th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UNDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MINNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Golden Gophers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Minnesota Golden Gophers
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Final: North Dakota 50, Minnesota 85. Bandwagon's model had the Minnesota at 72% and projected Minnesota 77, North Dakota 69; spread Minnesota −7.5, total 145.5.