Georgia Southern Eagles open at home against Ball State Cardinals with the score still 0-0 at 19:13 of the first. The model gives the Eagles a 74% chance to win, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Hanner Fieldhouse · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Ball State Cardinals vs Georgia Southern Eagles: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreBall State 55, Georgia Southern 67 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerGeorgia Southern 74%
- Pregame Projected scoreGeorgia Southern 77, Ball State 69
- Model spreadGeorgia Southern −8 total 145.5
- Margin12 projected 8.1
- Total122 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Ball State Cardinals or Georgia Southern Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 26–74Market –
FinalPregame: GASO 74%Baseline: GASO 96.9% (+23.0)Big swing: 14.0 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 22 | 33 | 55 |
| GASO | 37 | 30 | 67 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Ball State Cardinals at Georgia Southern Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for GASO over the last 5:00
Big swing14.0 ptstoward GASO at 2:56 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineGASO 96.9%game average, +23.0 points from the pregame 74.0%
Ball State Cardinals vs Georgia Southern Eagles live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BALL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | BALL16/59 | GASO20/53 |
| 3-pointers | BALL5/37 | GASO5/19 |
| Free throws | BALL18/25 | GASO22/36 |
| Rebounds | BALL47 | GASO39 |
| Assists | BALL5 | GASO10 |
| Turnovers | BALL15 | GASO10 |
| Steals | BALL7 | GASO9 |
| Blocks | BALL2 | GASO4 |
| Points in the paint | BALL20 | GASO28 |
| Fast-break points | BALL10 | GASO22 |
| Fouls | BALL23 | GASO16 |
| Largest lead | BALL2 | GASO28 |
Ball State Cardinals vs Georgia Southern Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BALL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BALL55 | GASO67 |
| Average win probability | BALL3% | GASO97% |
| Longest scoring run | BALL+8 | GASO+7 |
| Time leading | BALL0:00 | GASO37:04 |
Ball State Cardinals vs Georgia Southern Eagles odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET
Cardinals26%
Win chanceEagles74%
SpreadGASO −8closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+285away / −285homeaway / home
Line movementGASO win chance, 15 stored lines
+9 pts for GASO between Oct 29 and Nov 2
82%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | GASO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 74% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | +12 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- GASO 1501 · BALL 1433
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Ball State Cardinals 55, Georgia Southern Eagles 67. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Ball State Cardinals vs Georgia Southern Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Eagles a 8-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Eagles 1511 (158th of 361), Cardinals 1424 (287th). The Eagles are 1-0; the Cardinals are 0-1. The Eagles have won 4 of their last 5; the Cardinals 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Eagles won 0, the Cardinals 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Ball State Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgia Southern Eagles | L 55–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Michigan Chippewas | W 85–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Michigan Broncos | W 74–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Illinois Huskies | W 79–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Massachusetts Minutemen | W 74–73 | – | – | matchup |
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Ball State Cardinals | W 67–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Troy Trojans | L 61–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | W 82–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | W 96–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Alabama Jaguars | W 94–85 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern Eagles at Ball State Cardinals | 54–58 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Ball State Cardinals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Georgia Southern Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cardinals0-1 8th · L1
- Cardinals rating1424 287th of 361, 1 games
- Eagles1-0 3rd · W1
- Eagles rating1511 158th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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No stances yet today on $BALLMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ball State Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GASOMBB
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No stances yet today on $GASOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia Southern Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Ball State Cardinals at Georgia Southern Eagles
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Final: Ball State 55, Georgia Southern 67. Bandwagon's model had the Georgia Southern at 74% and projected Georgia Southern 77, Ball State 69; spread Georgia Southern −8, total 145.5.