NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Tuesday, November 17
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I men's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Tuesday, November 17
51 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pride at Racers neutral site | Pride 54% | PK | 145.5 | −118 / +118 | first line | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Scarlet Knights neutral site | Cougars 77% | Cougars −6.5 | 145.5 | −336 / +336 | first line | Matchup | |
| Gators at Fighting Irish neutral site | Gators 79% | Gators −7.5 | 145.5 | −378 / +378 | first line | Matchup | |
| Flames at Salukis neutral site | Flames 53% | Salukis −0.5 | 145.5 | −111 / +111 | first line | Matchup | |
| Red Foxes at Black Knights | Red Foxes 53% | Black Knights −0.5 | 143.5 | −114 / +114 | no move | Matchup | |
| Peacocks at River Hawks | River Hawks 63% | River Hawks −5 | 145.5 | +171 / −171 | first line | Matchup | |
| Bisons at Boilermakers | Boilermakers 85% | Boilermakers −12.5 | 146 | +558 / −558 | no move | Matchup | |
| Zips at Bison | Zips 73% | Zips −5 | 146 | −265 / +265 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Seminoles | Seminoles 82% | Seminoles −11 | 146.5 | +449 / −449 | no move | Matchup | |
| Falcons at Tribe | Tribe 69% | Tribe −6.5 | 145.5 | +219 / −219 | first line | Matchup | |
| Vikings at Musketeers | Musketeers 80% | Musketeers −10.5 | 147 | +398 / −398 | no move | Matchup | |
| 49ers at Wildcats | Wildcats 72% | Wildcats −7.5 | 145 | +259 / −259 | first line | Matchup | |
| Chippewas at Flyers | Flyers 84% | Flyers −12 | 147 | +524 / −524 | no move | Matchup | |
| Matadors at Trojans | Trojans 66% | Trojans −5.5 | 145.5 | +198 / −198 | first line | Matchup | |
| Buccaneers at Thundering Herd | Thundering Herd 62% | Thundering Herd −4.5 | 146 | +163 / −163 | first line | Matchup | |
| Rams at Jaspers | Jaspers 55% | Jaspers −2.5 | 146.5 | +123 / −123 | no move | Matchup | |
| Phoenix at Argonauts | Argonauts 69% | Argonauts −6.5 | 145.5 | +227 / −227 | first line | Matchup | |
| Fighting Illini at Blue Devils | Blue Devils 74% | Blue Devils −8 | 146 | +282 / −282 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mountain Hawks at Mountaineers | Mountaineers 68% | Mountaineers −6 | 147 | +214 / −214 | first line | Matchup | |
| Hawks at Demon Deacons | Demon Deacons 68% | Demon Deacons −6 | 145 | +212 / −212 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Knights | Knights 72% | Knights −7.5 | 153.5 | +263 / −263 | no move | Matchup | |
| Spartans at Yellow Jackets | Yellow Jackets 62% | Yellow Jackets −4.5 | 145.5 | +165 / −165 | first line | Matchup | |
| Broncs at Hurricanes | Hurricanes 89% | Hurricanes −15 | 146 | +832 / −832 | no move | Matchup | |
| Pioneers at Friars | Friars 71% | Friars −7 | 145.5 | +243 / −243 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Bulls | Bulls 80% | Bulls −10.5 | 148.5 | +404 / −404 | first line | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Panthers | Panthers 53% | Panthers −2 | 146 | +113 / −113 | first line | Matchup | |
| Seahawks at Hawks | Hawks 82% | Hawks −11 | 145.5 | +454 / −454 | no move | Matchup | |
| Catamounts at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 70% | Bulldogs −7 | 147 | +232 / −232 | spread −6.5 → −7, home 68% → 70% | Matchup | |
| Razorbacks at Hoosiers neutral site | Razorbacks 64% | Razorbacks −2.5 | 147.5 | −175 / +175 | first line | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Minutemen | Minutemen 77% | Minutemen −9 | 145 | +330 / −330 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Blazers | Blazers 73% | Blazers −8 | 145.5 | +270 / −270 | first line | Matchup | |
| Gamecocks at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 71% | Bulldogs −7 | 145.5 | +243 / −243 | no move | Matchup | |
| Owls at Crimson Tide | Crimson Tide 82% | Crimson Tide −11 | 145.5 | +454 / −454 | first line | Matchup | |
| Islanders at Owls | Owls 58% | Owls −3.5 | 145.5 | +140 / −140 | first line | Matchup | |
| Knights at Redbirds | Redbirds 80% | Redbirds −10 | 147.5 | +396 / −396 | first line | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Commodores | Commodores 90% | Commodores −16 | 145 | +952 / −952 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Mavericks | Mavericks 71% | Mavericks −7 | 145.5 | +240 / −240 | no move | Matchup | |
| Dolphins at Purple Aces | Purple Aces 61% | Purple Aces −4.5 | 145.5 | +158 / −158 | first line | Matchup | |
| Blue Raiders at Eagles | Eagles 67% | Eagles −6 | 145.5 | +202 / −202 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Eagles at Mustangs | Mustangs 85% | Mustangs −13 | 146 | +584 / −584 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hawks at Blue Demons | Blue Demons 80% | Blue Demons −10.5 | 143 | +404 / −404 | spread −10 → −10.5, total 144.5 → 143 | Matchup | |
| Mavericks at Golden Eagles | Golden Eagles 65% | Golden Eagles −5.5 | 145.5 | +186 / −186 | first line | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Utes | Utes 62% | Utes −4.5 | 143.5 | +160 / −160 | first line | Matchup | |
| Colonels at Rebels | Rebels 74% | Rebels −8.5 | 145.5 | +292 / −292 | spread −8 → −8.5 | Matchup | |
| Bearkats at Cowboys | Cowboys 62% | Cowboys −4.5 | 145.5 | +165 / −165 | first line | Matchup | |
| Hornets at Aggies | Aggies 77% | Aggies −9.5 | 147.5 | +343 / −343 | no move | Matchup | |
| Spartans at Volunteers | Volunteers 63% | Volunteers −5 | 146.5 | +172 / −172 | first line | Matchup | |
| Monarchs at Cavaliers | Cavaliers 86% | Cavaliers −13 | 143 | +622 / −622 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jayhawks at Rebels neutral site | Jayhawks 61% | Jayhawks −1.5 | 148.5 | −154 / +154 | no move | Matchup | |
| Redhawks at Lancers | Lancers 67% | Lancers −6 | 144.5 | +208 / −208 | no move | Matchup | |
| Anteaters at Cardinal | Cardinal 63% | Cardinal −4.5 | 145.5 | +168 / −168 | first line | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 51 of 51
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 51 of 51
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 51 of 51
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 51 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 51 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 42 · unavailable for 9 (Neutral site; A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 51 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I men's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 1782 | 1 |
| 2 | Duke Blue Devils | 1766 | 1 |
| 3 | Arizona Wildcats | 1723 | 1 |
| 4 | Florida Gators | 1723 | 1 |
| 5 | Houston Cougars | 1703 | 1 |
| 6 | UConn Huskies | 1703 | 1 |
| 7 | St. John's Red Storm | 1702 | 1 |
| 8 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 1702 | 1 |
| 9 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1699 | 1 |
| 10 | Michigan State Spartans | 1684 | 1 |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1677 | 1 |
| 12 | Purdue Boilermakers | 1672 | 1 |
Top 12 of 361; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I men's basketball model record
Over 17026 NCAA Division I men's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 72% of the time, Brier score 0.186, mean spread error 9.723 points, mean total error 13.897. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I men's basketball games Tuesday, November 17: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.