UT Arlington Mavericks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026
- Projected winnerSouthern Miss 65%
- Projected scoreSouthern Miss 75, UT Arlington 70
- Model spreadSouthern Miss −5.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
UT Arlington Mavericks or Southern Miss Golden Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 35–65Market –
UT Arlington Mavericks at Southern Miss Golden Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
UT Arlington Mavericks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
UT Arlington Mavericks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UTA | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTA– | USM– |
| Average win probability | UTA– | USM– |
| Longest scoring run | UTA– | USM– |
| Time leading | UTA– | USM– |
UT Arlington Mavericks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles odds
Every stored line
| Stored | USM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- USM 1500 · UTA 1503
- Home spread
- −5.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
UT Arlington Mavericks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Eagles a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Golden Eagles 1500 (178th of 361), Mavericks 1503 (173rd). The Golden Eagles are 0-0; the Mavericks are 0-0. The Golden Eagles have won 4 of their last 5; the Mavericks 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Utah Valley Wolverines | L 65–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds | W 69–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Abilene Christian Wildcats | W 64–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tarleton State Texans | W 65–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Baptist Lancers | L 56–68 | – | – | matchup |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Troy Trojans | L 70–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at App State Mountaineers | W 86–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas State Bobcats | W 81–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs James Madison Dukes | W 86–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Alabama Jaguars | W 68–55 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
UT Arlington Mavericks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mavericks0-0 8th · -
- Mavericks rating1503 173rd of 361, 0 games
- Golden Eagles0-0 12th · -
- Golden Eagles rating1500 178th of 361, 0 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $UTAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Arlington Mavericks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak -
No stances yet today on $USMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Southern Miss 65% to win. Projected score Southern Miss 75, UT Arlington 70; spread Southern Miss −5.5, total 145.5. UT Arlington Mavericks at Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Tue, Nov 17, 8:00 PM ET.