Western Carolina Catamounts vs Butler Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026
- Projected winnerButler 68%
- Projected scoreButler 77, Western Carolina 70
- Model spreadButler −6.5 total 147
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Western Carolina Catamounts or Butler Bulldogs: the bandwagon
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Axle 32–68Market –
Western Carolina Catamounts at Butler Bulldogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Western Carolina Catamounts vs Butler Bulldogs live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Western Carolina Catamounts vs Butler Bulldogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WCU | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WCU– | BTLR– |
| Average win probability | WCU– | BTLR– |
| Longest scoring run | WCU– | BTLR– |
| Time leading | WCU– | BTLR– |
Western Carolina Catamounts vs Butler Bulldogs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | BTLR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | — |
- Ratings
- BTLR 1497 · WCU 1475
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Western Carolina Catamounts vs Butler Bulldogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 147. Ratings: Bulldogs 1497 (181st of 361), Catamounts 1475 (219th). The Bulldogs are 0-0; the Catamounts are 0-0. The Bulldogs have won 2 of their last 5; the Catamounts 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at North Carolina Tar Heels | L 72–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | L 67–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mercer Bears | W 77–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Furman Paladins | W 86–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mercer Bears | W 78–74 | – | – | matchup |
Butler Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Lafayette Leopards | W 96–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Providence Friars | L 81–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at DePaul Blue Demons | W 81–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Creighton Bluejays | L 59–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Villanova Wildcats | L 73–82 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Western Carolina Catamounts: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Butler Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Catamounts0-0 10th · -
- Catamounts rating1475 219th of 361, 1 games
- Bulldogs0-0 1st · -
- Bulldogs rating1497 181st of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak -
No stances yet today on $WCUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Carolina Catamounts bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Butler Bulldogs 0-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak -
1 stance today on $BTLRMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Butler Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Butler 68% to win. Projected score Butler 77, Western Carolina 70; spread Butler −6.5, total 147. Western Carolina Catamounts at Butler Bulldogs, Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET.