NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Saturday, November 7
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I men's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Saturday, November 7
47 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles at Cardinals | Cardinals 84% | Cardinals −12 | 146 | +516 / −516 | no move | Matchup | |
| Fighting Hawks at Eagles | Eagles 80% | Eagles −10.5 | 145.5 | +410 / −410 | no move | Matchup | |
| Aggies at Bobcats | Bobcats 76% | Bobcats −8.5 | 145.5 | +314 / −314 | no move | Matchup | |
| Raiders at Dragons | Dragons 66% | Dragons −5.5 | 147.5 | +193 / −193 | no move | Matchup | |
| Titans at Coyotes | Coyotes 60% | Coyotes −4 | 145.5 | +148 / −148 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Wildcats | Wildcats 64% | Wildcats −5 | 145.5 | +174 / −174 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rockets at Thundering Herd | Thundering Herd 61% | Thundering Herd −4 | 146 | +155 / −155 | no move | Matchup | |
| Seahawks at Pirates | Seahawks 54% | Pirates −0.5 | 145.5 | −117 / +117 | no move | Matchup | |
| Beach at Bobcats | Bobcats 78% | Bobcats −9.5 | 145 | +352 / −352 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Lancers | Lancers 75% | Lancers −8.5 | 145.5 | +296 / −296 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rams at Tigers | Rams 55% | PK | 147 | −124 / +124 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sharks at Explorers | Sharks 51% | Explorers −1 | 145 | −104 / +104 | no move | Matchup | |
| Aztecs at Buffaloes neutral site | Aztecs 58% | Aztecs −1 | 149 | −138 / +138 | no move | Matchup | |
| Leopards at Hawks | Hawks 86% | Hawks −13.5 | 145.5 | +635 / −635 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hawks at Rams neutral site | Rams 51% | Rams −1.5 | 146.5 | +102 / −102 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Grizzlies at Gauchos | Gauchos 68% | Gauchos −6 | 145.5 | +213 / −213 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mavericks at Aggies | Aggies 87% | Aggies −13.5 | 145.5 | +653 / −653 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Rebels | Rebels 66% | Rebels −5.5 | 145.5 | +192 / −192 | no move | Matchup | |
| Knights at RedHawks | RedHawks 87% | RedHawks −13.5 | 146.5 | +660 / −660 | no move | Matchup | |
| Aggies at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 87% | Bulldogs −13.5 | 145.5 | +652 / −652 | no move | Matchup | |
| Monarchs at Bison | Bison 54% | Bison −2.5 | 144 | +117 / −117 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Bisons | Bisons 66% | Bisons −5.5 | 145.5 | +191 / −191 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Paladins | Paladins 60% | Paladins −4 | 145.5 | +152 / −152 | no move | Matchup | |
| Skyhawks at Jaguars | Skyhawks 51% | Jaguars −1 | 145.5 | −104 / +104 | no move | Matchup | |
| Keydets at Roadrunners | Roadrunners 68% | Roadrunners −6.5 | 145.5 | +216 / −216 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Panthers | Panthers 86% | Panthers −13.5 | 143.5 | +635 / −635 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Vaqueros | Vaqueros 75% | Vaqueros −8.5 | 145.5 | +294 / −294 | no move | Matchup | |
| Catamounts at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 64% | Bulldogs −5 | 148.5 | +178 / −178 | no move | Matchup | |
| Pirates at Revolutionaries | Revolutionaries 81% | Revolutionaries −10.5 | 143 | +429 / −429 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lumberjacks at Lobos | Lobos 90% | Lobos −15 | 148.5 | +855 / −855 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bears at Purple Eagles | Purple Eagles 61% | Purple Eagles −4.5 | 145.5 | +158 / −158 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Leathernecks | Leathernecks 54% | Leathernecks −2.5 | 145.5 | +117 / −117 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bears at Wildcats | Wildcats 70% | Wildcats −6.5 | 145.5 | +230 / −230 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Flyers | Flyers 90% | Flyers −15.5 | 148 | +895 / −895 | no move | Matchup | |
| Friars at Cornhuskers neutral site | Cornhuskers 70% | Cornhuskers −7 | 147 | +233 / −233 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bonnies at Golden Griffins | Bonnies 51% | Golden Griffins −1 | 146.5 | −104 / +104 | no move | Matchup | |
| Pioneers at Highlanders | Highlanders 65% | Highlanders −5.5 | 145.5 | +187 / −187 | no move | Matchup | |
| Terrapins at Hoyas | Hoyas 68% | Hoyas −6 | 146.5 | +212 / −212 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Lopes | Lopes 78% | Lopes −9.5 | 149 | +348 / −348 | no move | Matchup | |
| Demons at Racers | Racers 81% | Racers −10.5 | 147 | +427 / −427 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Braves | Braves 75% | Braves −8.5 | 145.5 | +292 / −292 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lions at Trojans | Trojans 65% | Trojans −5.5 | 145.5 | +186 / −186 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wolverines at Wildcats | Wolverines 56% | Wolverines −0.5 | 145.5 | −127 / +127 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Tritons | Tritons 78% | Tritons −9.5 | 145.5 | +351 / −351 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vikings at Redhawks | Redhawks 68% | Redhawks −6 | 145.5 | +212 / −212 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hornets at Broncos | Broncos 89% | Broncos −15 | 145.5 | +839 / −839 | no move | Matchup | |
| Spartans at Anteaters | Anteaters 82% | Anteaters −11 | 145.5 | +456 / −456 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 47 of 47
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 47 of 47
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 27 of 47 · unavailable for 20 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 47 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 47 (No injury list read before this game; More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 39 · unavailable for 8 (A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored; Neutral site)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 47 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I men's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 1782 | 1 |
| 2 | Duke Blue Devils | 1766 | 1 |
| 3 | Arizona Wildcats | 1723 | 1 |
| 4 | Florida Gators | 1723 | 1 |
| 5 | Houston Cougars | 1703 | 1 |
| 6 | UConn Huskies | 1703 | 1 |
| 7 | St. John's Red Storm | 1702 | 1 |
| 8 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 1702 | 1 |
| 9 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1699 | 1 |
| 10 | Michigan State Spartans | 1684 | 1 |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1677 | 1 |
| 12 | Purdue Boilermakers | 1672 | 1 |
Top 12 of 361; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I men's basketball model record
Over 17026 NCAA Division I men's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 72% of the time, Brier score 0.186, mean spread error 9.723 points, mean total error 13.897. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I men's basketball games Saturday, November 7: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.